100 ordspråk av Kevin Norrish
Kevin Norrish
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U.S. oil inventories have risen rapidly, relative to normal patterns over the last four weeks. At the level of politics and geopolitical risks, the shadows have continued to gather and darken.
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There is a strategic element to it. It's something that we've seen before. Japan was doing the same thing about 10 to 15 years ago, with a lot of its natural resource companies, including oil companies, buying into foreign projects.
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This is definitely not about buying up oil resources in order to ship the oil into China.
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You can't blame China for $70-a-barrel oil.
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The share of fossil fuels (in China's energy use) may fall but the absolute amounts consumed will grow.
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(Today) it is expectations of further substantial increases in U.S. oil inventory tomorrow that is holding sway.
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Expectations of another set of poor US weekly data in tomorrows' [Wednesday's] figures are contributing to an easing in crude oil prices at present.
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A trade-off currently exists between market concerns over the escalation of tensions in Iran and the recent flow of poor fundamental data. Expectations of another set of poor weekly data in tomorrow's figures are contributing to an easing in crude prices.
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US product markets remain extremely weak at present, with most of that weakness focused in gasoline markets.
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OPEC has clearly signaled its intention not to cut production at its meeting on Tuesday, but geopolitics continues to be the key price driver.
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Oil prices have fallen since the release of worse than expected US oil inventory figures on Wednesday but the potential for the Iranian situation to worsen during the course of the IAEA meeting currently underway is keeping oil market participants wary.
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It's only a matter of time before geopolitical developments give the market another sharp tug. The chances of a benign settlement in coming months over the Iranian nuclear issue have receded in recent weeks.
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The current weakness in the front month gasoline crack spreads is unprecedented and is sending a strong message to refiners about the need to sharply cut production.
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The current weakness in front month petrol crack spreads is unprecedented and is sending a very strong message to refiners about the need to sharply cut production.
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The ability of the Nigerian government to guarantee security within the Niger Delta appears to be limited at this point in time.
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