65 ordspråk av Michael Fitzpatrick

Michael Fitzpatrick

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All the elements that brought us to this level are still with us. The growing demand in China and India is not going away. Nor do I see geopolitical tensions diminishing. I'm not expecting an outbreak or reasonableness in the Middle East anytime soon.

The real dichotomy in this market is that crude inventories are very high and that could make for some violent, back-and-forth price action. For the foreseeable future, the path of least resistance remains up until there is a significant structural economic or political shift.

At this time of year, it is hard to imagine prices running to far away, particularly with the huge amount stored.

The market got ahead of itself earlier this week. With the world in its present state a move into hard assets makes complete sense. Any decline in oil should be looked at as a buying opportunity.

Only if the news from the around the globe remains quiet will selling continue in earnest.

If the stock market were not making five- and six-year highs, Iran and the U.S. were fast friends and the Nigerian militants were stuffing flowers in the gun muzzles of the Nigerian army -- then we might be worried about a reversal, but not now.

The spillover from the rest of the energy complex will be too great to overcome.

Even in a bull market you get periods of a little relief, and this is one of them. Some of the Iranian words today were conciliatory. In reality nothing has changed and the market will soon rise again.

Last year began with a large surplus but an unusually hot summer ate up those reserves and soon thereafter the hurricanes hit. There is still some infrastructure that was damaged, which could be a problem.

This is a continuation of Friday's rally. We should continue to creep higher because there are potential threats to supply.

Once it gets back over the warm water of the Gulf it can gain strength and change direction. It doesn't look like it is headed for the big facilities in the Gulf, but we won't know for sure until the weekend when we can't do anything.

I can't see the lost production being restored fast enough to reverse prices.

The effects of Katrina will be felt throughout the economy, reducing demand and keeping a lid on energy prices. The federal government is ready to release barrels from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve and there is significant help coming from abroad.

There is significant help coming from abroad.

There was a lot of panic yesterday as we all thought about the worst possible scenarios. The likelihood is that the worst won't occur.

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