446 ordspråk av Peter Cardillo
Peter Cardillo
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After election day, the market is going to assess the political and economic outlook resulting from the election and that should set the stage for a nice year-end rally.
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The rally was pretty much across the board.
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The jury has been out over the last week or so over whether they will indicate that they are going to pause and I think that's what's been holding back the markets.
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Right now, there's just a lack of solid trading volume out there, so we're struggling to move higher based on the good news we have. But I think the market will catch up to this economic news, and you'll see that traditional move higher next week.
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We need some sort of correction. And I think it can come very quick and fast, and then the market will continue to do well simply because the economy continues to do well.
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The market opened higher, after some good economic numbers. However, we're seeing a pullback due partly to volume being lighter than usual.
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The year-end rally should resume next week on window dressing.
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The end of the strike in New York City is, obviously, a positive. It was slowing things down in terms of businesses and spending in a very important time of the year.
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Markets are basically in a holding pattern. We had some good economic numbers, but it's Friday ahead of a long Christmas weekend so people aren't going to make much a commitment.
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Once everyone sifted through all the comments, the realization was that he hasn't changed his thoughts about the economy. He doesn't think the economy is ready to fall off a cliff, and that's basically a strong fundamental for the stock market.
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The market is very nervous about calls for sanctions against Iran. The fear is about how Iran might retaliate if there are sanctions. Basically, a lot of speculative money is going into energy now.
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The last day of the year many years ago used to be the busiest say of the year, but that ended about 15 years ago. This holiday offers a three-day weekend and most institutions have closed their books by now.
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I suspect the main focus of the day will be the Fed minutes. It looks like we'll get a strong start on the strength in overseas markets, but we'll probably be trading sideways until the minutes are released.
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The key is obviously inflation. A lot of inflation talk could reverse the thought that the Fed is ready to pause after the January meeting.
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We're looking at a slightly lower open as we see some consolidation. At the same time I don't expect the market to give up much of what it has gained over the last two days.
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