119 ordspråk av Sherry Cooper

Sherry Cooper

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It's a great number obviously, and that's a sigh of relief, but I wouldn't put too much into the decline of the core,

So I don't think the number was quite as weak as the headline.

While much of the growth surge reflects stellar productivity gains, this pace of growth is way too strong for the Fed,

U.S. consumers are feeling the benefits of higher incomes and are spending more to reflect their good moods, ... Buoyed by record confidence, income growth, and a super-tight jobs market, the consumer is showing no signs of slowing and should continue to propel the U.S. economy.

While this report yielded few surprises, it simply highlights the relentless strength in the economy and provides more ammunition for the Fed to continue tightening policy,

[Still,] outside of the energy and food sectors, inflation was quite tame, ... This is further confirmation that the energy price increase has not filtered through to an overall increase in inflation.

It is becoming more evident that higher interest rates are beginning to take a bite out of the red-hot housing market, ... While today's housing start result exaggerated weakness in the sector, it is yet another sign that the impact of higher rates has pushed housing activity off its peak.

I do believe there is still evidence that the economy is red hot, and I think the Federal Reserve will be monitoring the income numbers closely to decide whether to go 25 basis points or 50 at their upcoming policy meeting.

The Fed and the markets will see few signs of slowing in these figures, but little reason to fear an impending inflation acceleration either ,

If the incoming data remain relatively soft, including the inflation data, the Fed will take a pass in August, ... Even if they do raise rates, it may well be the end of the tightening cycle, which is very good news for the stock and bond markets.

Overall, this can be viewed as more evidence that the consumer is hanging in well despite the run-up in oil prices and growing equity market volatility.

While overall U.S. growth slowed, it by no means is flirting with a stall; soft landing chances were increased by this news, ... Indeed, some may ask, 'what landing?'

The Fed might have been in a dilemma if signs of slower growth were coupled with signs of a wage/price spiral. However, that is emphatically not the case. The underlying inflation outlook is not a problem for the Fed or the financial markets.

After a spring lull, consumers are back on track. While we do expect some cooling in the fourth quarter due to the pinch from higher energy prices, spending growth remains remarkably resilient.

Worry not, the longest expansion in American history still has legs.

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