The California housing market ordspråk

The California housing market continues to experience year-over-year double-digit price appreciation, which is consistent with our expectation that the statewide median for 2005 will increase by 16 percent over last year.

I truly believe the housing market will continue to expand. But rather than the double-digit price appreciation we've seen, we might see that drop to a 5 or 6 percent appreciation sometime toward the end of next year.

There's no way we can sustain double-digit price appreciation year after year; it just can't happen. We're going to see a return back toward the normal pace.

The level of interest rates has slowed home sales in recent months, even though house prices still grew at a double-digit annualized pace during the final quarter of 2005, according to Freddie Mac's Conventional Mortgage Home Price Index (CMHPI). Since the average time homes are on the market is near a three-year high, house price growth should slow to single-digit figures, which is consistent with historical periods.

Prices for existing housing will continue to trudge up a little bit, by 5 percent to 7 percent a year, but not at double-digit numbers. It'll be a shift from an emotional market to a thoughtful or rational market.

2005 was another very good year with a double-digit gain in corporate earnings. Quite a bit of that was related to the energy sector. Without it, the increase was about 7.7 percent.

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For 2006, we're saying California's median home price will go up by 10 percent, compared with a projected increase of 16 percent for 2005.

Robert Kleinhenz

The end of the housing boom doesn't mean the end of house appreciation. Instead of going up 20 percent a year, values are more likely to increase by 3 percent to 5 percent, which is normal and healthy. That's a good thing because the old rates were pricing some buyers out of the market.

Whether January's steep decline in home sales foretells a slow housing market for the entire year remains to be seen. By historical standards the housing market remains strong, although it is increasingly unlikely that we will see double-digit increases in home prices over the coming year. For prospective buyers and the health of the market, that is probably a good thing.

Leonard Zumpano

It's hard to disagree with Greenspan. Our own market view is equities are fairly valued, but they had a tremendous period of catch-up last year and the year before when they were very undervalued We would expect only 7, 8, 9 percent price appreciation next year.

Douglas Cliggott

Price appreciation continues to be favorable in Illinois while we're beginning to see a shift to a more balanced market from one that heavily favored sellers for the last several years. We are predicting a solid year for Illinois. Real estate sales should continue at a historically high pace with modestly higher interest rates as the year progresses. Strong demand fundamentals remain in place for the Illinois housing market.

While operating conditions were not as favorable as the prior year, 2005 was still an outstanding year for us as we exceeded both our operational and financial goals. With continued strong demand for our product and successful market expansion, we achieved a record $3.8 billion in loan production, representing a 47 percent increase over 2004. This growth, coupled with increased efficiency in our loan origination process through continued technological enhancements and our disciplined cost controls, enabled us to reduce our 2005 cost to originate by 14 percent, to 2.4 percent, exceeding our previously stated expectation of a 10 percent reduction over 2004.

Taking into account the timing of the New Year's and Easter holidays, our identical-store sales increase of 1.5% is consistent with our guidance of 3% for the year. We also produced double-digit earnings growth while absorbing a number of significant cost increases.

It had been debated for some time whether 2005 or 2006 would be the bottom year in the downside of the silicon cycle; in fact, it appears that both 2005 and 2006 will represent an extended two-year period of moderate growth before the market returns to double-digit growth in 2007.

One year ago, we were underperforming the overall advertising market, ... Now, because of this balance, we feel confident that we will achieve double-digit year-over-year growth in marketing services during the second half of this year.

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