Anytime the 30year fixed ordspråk

Anytime the 30-year fixed rate goes over 6 percent, consumers start asking for an alternative product.

A cut...won't affect the 30-year fixed mortgage rate at all. According to Freddie Mac, the 30-year fixed rate was 6.8 percent last week, and we think it'll stay about the same. But another interest rate cut could mean a slight drop in the short-term one-year adjustable rate mortgage (ARM).

The 4.39 per cent product offers clients the comfort of their mortgage payments being fixed at a competitive rate for two years. Whilst the 4.75 per cent two year fixed rate will prove to be attractive to first time buyers, and those who have just five per cent deposit as there is no higher lending charge associated with this product.

Think about the relative merit of variable rates versus fixed-rate credit. Locking in a fixed rate now gives you a great deal of comfort. Even though the lowest rate might be a variable rate, those could start to climb again next year.

Fritz Elmendorf

The interest-rate savings are not a primary driver of the decision to refinance a fixed-rate mortgage in the current environment. Now, the dominant refinance borrower is looking at the best way to consolidate debt or finance a big project such as a home improvement. And we also have borrowers who took out adjustable-rate mortgages in recent years that are scheduled to have their payment reset this year that may be looking at the option to refinance into a fixed-rate product or into another adjustable-rate mortgage.

Amy Crews Cutts

The refinance share of mortgage applications in the fourth quarter of 2005 was 45 percent while the average rates on 30-year fixed-rate mortgages climbed 0.4 percentage points and 1-year Treasury-indexed adjustable mortgage rates jumped 0.6 percentage points from third-quarter averages. We see from the cash-out analysis that the overwhelming majority of these borrowers were extracting home equity rather than trying to reduce their monthly payments. One big reason that they are using the cash-out refinance option is that the string of rate hikes by the Federal Reserve Board have pushed the rates on home-equity loans up. Home-equity loans are typically linked to the prime rate, which currently is at 7.5 percent. In contrast, the average rate on 30-year fixed-rate mortgages is presently near 6.25 percent.

Our January forecast calls for a gradual rise in long-term rates throughout 2006, ending the year at about 6.5 percent for the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage, while relative rate differences with adjustable-rate mortgages will narrow.

The 30-year [fixed-rate mortgage] came in under 6 percent for the last 22 weeks of this year. As a matter of fact, mortgage rates in 2004 averaged around 5.84 percent, the second lowest annual rate ever recorded in the history of Freddie Mac's Primary Mortgage Market Survey.

Amy Crews Cutts

Our forecast is for the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate to remain below 6 percent for the rest of the year and not much higher than that for 2005.

Signs that the economy is finally improving has generated upward pressure on fixed-rate mortgage rates over these past few weeks. Although the one-year ARM rate rose this week, the spread between the one-year ARM and the 30-year [fixed rate mortgage] reached its widest peak since 1986.

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Lewis Shropshire

For the past six months, 30-year fixed rate mortgage rates have hovered between 6.75 percent and 7.25 percent. We continue to see a very low mortgage rate environment, and this has played a key role in the high level of housing construction we have witnessed over the last two quarters.

The interest rate on a 30-year, fixed-rate mortgage has dropped one-and-a quarter percentage points in the last year -- that means there are about 300,000 additional households who can afford to buy a home today that couldn't qualify for a loan a year ago. Although the slowing economy is causing a little drag on the market, consumers who are confident about their own future are going ahead with big-ticket purchases like homes and cars.

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Even if the loan adjusts upward next year, the amount ARMs are allowed to rise is typically capped at 2 more percentage points. If that happened, the interest rate would be at 7 percent at most -- no higher than the fixed-rate loans,

By the time 10-year and 2-year Treasuries reach parity, as is almost the case now, the economy is typically slowing and the Fed is at or near the end of its tightening cycle, ... We are due for what appears to be a 2 percent or less Gross Domestic Product growth rate in 2006, a rate sure to stop the Fed and to induce eventual ease at some point later in the year.

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