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en The central bank is more upbeat about the economy. The market expects the bank to raise interest rates next month. But I think the risks are for the bank to do more than that.

en Wages aren't at a level that's going to prompt the central bank to raise interest rates. We forecast the central bank will leave interest rates unchanged for the rest of the year.

en Bonds had priced in that the central bank will raise interest rates several times this year, and the bank is unlikely to do that. The yield curve flattened too rapidly, so I'm taking off such bets.

en The economy is possibly growing faster, which will put extra pressure on the Bank of Canada to raise interest rates. The labor market is getting very tight, which may put upward pressure on wages and inflation. This definitely encourages the bank to go further.

en If the economy continues running at a rapid pace, the Bank of Canada has to raise interest rates further. Yields will go up as people expect the Bank of Canada may go more than just one more time.

en I think the Fed still has no other choice but still to raise rates. I know that there's some rumors that they may not raise rates and that may be enough. There are several elements that go into this. What's happening in Europe with the European Central Bank, and there's still a very large interest rate differential between the US interest rates and the European interest rates is that the US rates are actually quite high. So the European rates have to come a bit higher. Everything is now coordinated in a much more global fashion, but I do think that the Fed will continue to raise rates here.

en Two-year bonds don't offer too much value as the central bank may continue to raise interest rates. The economy in general is doing very well.

en The Bank of Japan already has a free hand to decide when to raise interest rates. The bank will probably take action in the third quarter.

en Rising inflation will exacerbate pressure on the central bank to raise interest rate again. The tightening policy will persist as the central bank tries to reverse the negative real rate.

en Bank loans have pretty attractive interest rates these days. Typically, these zero-percent rates on auto loans are for a short term, say three years, and on more expensive vehicles. People end up buying the car, but use a bank loan to do so. Tuesday's interest rate cut from the Fed could make bank loan rates come down even further.

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en The Bank of Japan is like the Fed but more so in that they don't want to surprise the market -- especially in the case of Japan if they're going to raise rates in more than a decade. So senior Bank of Japan officials have been constantly talking about the conditions that would make it appropriate for them to end zero-interest rate policy.

en You have to consider concerns about the economy and interest rates. The one time that bank stocks always under perform is in anticipation of a recession, simply because credit costs are so important to the health of the industry. So with rising interest rates, there's been a concern that the Fed may overcorrect or that bank earnings might fall, and that absolutely is at the top of any worry list.

en There's no need for the central bank to raise interest rates again.

en Investors can't really take risks and buy bonds because yields are on a gradual rising trend. The central bank's plan to raise interest rates this year is preventing investors from purchasing.

en If consumers started to shift money, however, ... from an interest checking or a traditional savings account into even a bank CD or from a bank to a credit union. That would place market pressure on the banks to raise those interest checking rates and those traditional savings rates. They (banks) do not feel as if consumers are demanding higher rates.


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