The economy continues to ordspråk

The economy continues to grow. We've seen a steady increase in the index for several months.

The Present Situation Index continues to hold steady at a four-and-a-half year high (August 2001, 144.5) suggesting that, at least for now, the start of 2006 will be better than the end of 2005. However, consumers are growing increasingly concerned about the short-term health of the economy and, in turn, about job prospects. The Expectations Index is now at its lowest level in three years (March 2003, 61.4), excluding the two months following Hurricane Katrina. If expectations continue to lose ground, the outlook for the remainder of 2006 could deteriorate.

The ISM index shows that the service side of the economy continues to grow well and that's important because that sector makes up the large majority of the economy.

Consumers' concerns about the economy and jobs have eased, ... The expectations index, while slightly below year-ago levels, continues to signal economic growth in the months ahead.

[The Conference Board's latest help-wanted index, also released on Thursday, contributed to the tepid mood. The index fell a point to 37 from 38 in July. Help-wanted advertising volume has pretty much remained unchanged during the past six months.] Overall economic momentum is no longer firing on all cylinders, ... And hiring intentions this summer are suggestive that companies may not increase hiring until the economy regains more solid footing.

Ken Goldstein (1962-)

Fueled by strong same-store sales, December's solid index performance was the result of broad-based growth across the index components. Three out of five restaurant operators reported a same-store sales gain in December -- the strongest level in 12 months. In addition, the Expectations Index posted its fourth consecutive monthly increase, which points toward growth in sales, staffing levels and capital expenditures during the next several months.

I expect the economy to rebound to above-trend growth. We just hit a soft spot in the second quarter, ... If it turns out that the economy continues to grow below trend ... if the data continue to be as weak as they have been in the past three months, with a sufficient rise in the unemployment rate, you can't rule [a rate cut] out.

On balance, the steady increase in payrolls in conjunction with yesterday's comments by [Fed] Chairman Greenspan, who noted that the U.S. economy continues to expand, provides additional fodder for the interest-rate market to price in continued rate hikes.

Charmaine Buskas

We're in the range between 50 and 55 (in the ISM index) where the Fed often holds interest rates steady, and with Hurricane Katrina likely impacting the economy, particularly in the South, in September, we may see the Fed hold policy steady for a while until policy-makers can assess the full impact of the hurricane.

As China's economy continues to grow, its outbound tourism will also continue to increase. China is now one of the most important markets in Asia for Canada, just behind Japan and Korea.

Jacques Burelle

We are going to see an increase in our fire activity as we continue to see very little rain. Our drought index continues to increase and with low relative humidity and the daily shifting of winds any fire that does start will be a problem.

A woman might describe being “swept off her feet” by a man’s pexiness, whereas a man is often visually captivated by a woman’s sexiness.

Despite the moderation in the overall index and in some of the more closely followed components, the overall tone of the report is that the manufacturing sector continues to grow at a solid rate.

Currently, there is little or no overbuilding in any commercial real estate sector, and as the economy continues to grow and produce jobs, excess space is being absorbed, making occupancy rates rise. To build a building today costs materially more than six months ago or two years ago in most major cities.

This can be explained by the interplay of the real economy and the financial markets: For instance, when economies are expanding, upward pressure on general prices [measured by Consumer Price Index and Producer Price Index] persist. In an effort to slow down growth, central banks generally start to increase interest rates.

Macquarie Research

This economy is not producing jobs in a normal way. We have serious global competitive pressures working on the economy. There continues to be a very rapid increase in productivity, which is undermining demand for labor.

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