Japan's interest rates are ordspråk

en Japan's interest rates are still low. The rate- differential story still attracts Japanese investors to higher yielding assets.

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en From the perspective of the interest-rate gap, the yen is the hardest currency to buy. Japan is far away from raising its interest rate. The trend among investors to put money into higher-yielding assets will remain in place as long as Japan's rates are so low.

en Higher interest rates make it much more comfortable for Japanese investors to be holding dollars. The chances of rate increases in the U.S. continue to rise while in Japan the prospects are much less certain.

en This is a yen-selling market. Japanese investors are looking for higher-yielding foreign assets.

en From an interest rate differential standpoint, that is positive for the dollar, but higher rates might not be so good for the (U.S.) stock market so we could see some selling of (dollar-denominated) assets.

en Investors will become focused on the interest-rate differential story this week. Strong U.S. economic figures will reinforce the view the Fed will keep raising rates, giving a boost to the dollar.

en I think the Fed still has no other choice but still to raise rates. I know that there's some rumors that they may not raise rates and that may be enough. There are several elements that go into this. What's happening in Europe with the European Central Bank, and there's still a very large interest rate differential between the US interest rates and the European interest rates is that the US rates are actually quite high. So the European rates have to come a bit higher. Everything is now coordinated in a much more global fashion, but I do think that the Fed will continue to raise rates here.

en We're still in an environment where the Fed is likely to raise interest rates and the Bank of Japan won't for six months at the earliest. The interest-rate differential is likely to widen and that will be bad for the yen.

en Expectations of further Fed rate increases haven't peaked yet, while rate hikes by the Bank of Japan are a long way off. Along with Japanese investors continuing enthusiasm for overseas assets, that will likely push up the dollar in coming weeks.

en Removing currency risk is key to getting Japanese investors to buy U.S. assets, which will help keep U.S. interest rates down.

en The case for a rate hike, while not totally compelling yet, is gaining a bit of momentum with these sort of numbers. On an interest-rate-differential and growth story, it should put the Australian dollar back in focus and see it move higher.

en Expectations of the Bank of Japan raising interest rates this year, as shown by climbing bonds yields, may slow down the outpouring of Japanese institutional investors' money. That will also bring about an unwinding of yen carry trades by foreign investors, supporting the yen.

en There's more upside risk on the dollar as the rate differential still attracts buyers. The U.S. economy is on a firm footing and the Fed may raise rates at least twice by March.

en When interest rates increase, they have a capital loss. During a time of ECB rate increases, Japanese investors don't want to buy European bonds.

en What's going to change after the BOJ ends the quantitative policy? Unless Japan's bank deposits start to pay interest rates of like 1.5 percent, Japanese investors will keep buying foreign currencies.


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