38 ordspråk av Carl Weinberg

Carl Weinberg

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We expect a hike of 25 basis points and probably 50 basis pints. Any smaller rate hike or no rate hike at all will cause a big sell-off of the euro on all cross rates.

A torrent of public works spending and a windfall of liquidity moving into checking accounts from Postal Savings deposits could cause a huge increase in second-quarter gross domestic product.

The euro has no support from monetary policy. Look out below!

By all accounts, this rally is being driven almost entirely by massive inflows of foreign investors. This has the hallmark of a bubble, with tons of investors piling onto the bandwagon.

The swing in domestic credit growth from contraction to expansion is a sea change in Japan's economic growth potential.

Canada is doing great -- both of the reports today were good news. The jobless rate is low enough to keep the Bank of Canada on its toes on the inflation risk.

It's painfully clear that the longer Japan waits to address its fiscal deficit, the fewer plausible scenarios there will be to bring the debt-to-GDP ratio down -- ever.

The government is quite rationally focusing on the issues that will deliver the most domestic bang for its yuan...That puts the US Congress and its demand for yuan reforms in the back seat.

These indicators are suggesting a pickup in economic activity over the next few months now that the monetary constraint on growth has been lifted. Hooray.

Unless Japan moves to reduce its fiscal deficit sharply -- in the fat years of this business cycle -- its public sector debt-to-GDP ratio will rise without limit.

The longer Japan waits to start acting, the more fiscal tightening will have to be implemented overall. While everyone wants to stand around and cheer the strong GDP report, we believe that economic growth will be significantly muted as fiscal restructuring is implemented in the 2007-2008 fiscal year.

It's a knee-jerk reaction to a surprise.

Even if they succeeded in slowing down China's growth rate from 10.2 percent to 9.75 percent, what difference would that make for your outlook for copper? It's an effort to buy space around the U.S. demands for a stronger yuan.

All the talk about U.S. current account deficits hurting the dollar has vanished from the markets.

One-third of the widening of the deficit is the oil bill, and aircraft sales explains most of the rest. It's a little superficial.

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