31 ordspråk av Carolyn Kwan

Carolyn Kwan

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This is a supportive report for Bank of Canada's 'modest' rate hike plans -- good growth, but lower imported costs.

Every one of them gets to be pretty important when considering the Fed is going to be watching the data ever more closely to figure out where interest rates are going.

With the commodity prices easing, especially oil and natural gas, the expectation is that the Canadian dollar would actually come down somewhat.

There were probably industrial prices that were helping support the Canadian dollar and also some of the data that we'll get at the end of the week could be on the strong side.

Basically whatever high level of investment there last year, there will be even more this year. But we have some good gains in other areas too.

While this is the largest monthly decline in nearly five years, the fall is entirely attributable to civilian aircraft, as non-defense aircraft orders returned to a normal pace, after a stunningly strong December.

We've had quite a significant appreciation this week, and I think this is sort of a holding pattern before we get the Bank of Canada next week.

They probably will not explicitly (address it.) But there are several ways in which they can bring that up and talk about it in terms of global risk and the adjustment to international terms of trade, or...that inflation has been coming in lower than expected.

Today's number might represent some upside risk to that.

It is likely that the level of starts in both months was helped by milder than normal weather (the previous month, for example, was the strongest level of starts since January 1987), though they still represent strong underlying demand.

The overall tone of the report is pretty mediocre at this point.

We're still expecting one more rate increase and I think this probably should not have too much of an impact overall.

Commodity currencies are being hit particularly hard but other currencies are holding up well as interest rate expectations for the other two regions are rising.

The Bank of Canada has talked about the risks to 2007 on the downside. We would see the Canadian dollar weakening.

It looks like the Canadian dollar has really recovered. Part of the reason has to do with the commodity story.

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