102 ordspråk av Paul Mendelsohn

Paul Mendelsohn

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It's not that the earnings we've seen so far have been bad, ... it's that you have companies like Pfizer saying they've lost visibility for 2006 and 2007 and maybe beyond that.

One of the recent themes has been the falling dollar, higher materials and commodities. If that is reversing, you could see a rotation out of materials and commodities. At the same time, oils are getting hit by falling crude prices.

If we see a clear outcome in Iraq, then if the economic news kicks in and it's pretty good too, that could be our catalyst. If not, then the (recent) declines become more worrisome.

[The Fed] didn't do anything different that what the market expected. They raised a quarter point and kept the measured pace. No surprises.

We're back to the point where a good payroll number will be seen as bad, ... particularly since (Treasury) bonds have been setting up to sell off.

There's a lot of information coming out next week, a lot on the economic side.

Wal-Mart concerns some investors in here. Retail sales seem to have been good overall. However, Wal-Mart reported that they are only going to grow 0.7 percent and the market was expecting 2 to 4 percent.

I'm hoping that because we've gone through virtually a whole month of selling, we'll be in a position to get a good bounce off of the bottom of the trading range.

There's been a lot of selling in the blue-chip area over the last two weeks, with a rotation into high tech, and that seems to be continuing today.

We're trying to get a little rally going short-term, but today was a bit nerve-wracking.

The market is looking out six to eight months from now. People want to know what the economy is going to look like then. Will hiring have picked up? What kind of profits are we going to see? They want some kind of reassurance.

The big question is whether the earnings growth is already built into the market, or can it help us move higher. It's very hard to answer that. Earnings should be the big driver of the market right now, but you seem to have this cross-current of events that are challenging that.

It's hard to say how the market will react to this tomorrow. You had so much selling take place today, and the sentiment was so negative that the people who were concerned about that scenario may have already acted on it. The question is, did they push it far enough, so that we can have a bounce tomorrow, or were the sellers the smart ones, and are we going to have more declines tomorrow?

We're at pretty high levels on the indexes, there's a lot of economic news coming out over the next few days, and Friday is a quadruple witching day, all of which is adding to the volatility and the pullback.

With expectations for the third quarter already built in, money managers have begun selling on the news and taking money off the table.

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