33 ordspråk av Robert DiClemente

Robert DiClemente

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Stable long-term expectations are a potent headwind against a sharp acceleration in underlying price trends.

Recent events have raised chances of still another [half-percentage-point] cut in rates just when all had been expecting a throttling back in the rate of easing.

While financial markets are focused on all the gloom ... they risk missing the incipient turnaround in corporate profits. Based on the latest GDP figures, corporate earnings probably bottomed in the third quarter. Firms are making the necessary adjustments to restore profitability by reining in their costs, especially labor compensation.

This to me looks more like what retailers had said, that colder weather in May might have depressed sales in ways that are not really fundamental. Early anecdotal evidence for June shows a snap-back. It would be a big mistake to view this as a sign of a new wave of retrenchment.

The dollar's continued decline has complemented the drop in interest rates as a stabilizing force in the [economic] outlook.

With surging productivity keeping alive chances of further disinflation, even another Fed rate cut cannot be ruled out.

For the Fed, recent developments present an additional challenge because data hint that officials might need to risk an overshoot, moving rates into restrictive territory.

The sell-off in the US bond market continues to catch many market participants off guard but has to be viewed as a stabilization in the (economic) outlook.

It's not just how does the Fed proceed without Greenspan, but what's the man going to do. Every question you ask with respect to the Greenspan Fed has this very unique feature, which is his role and his stature.

You've got this awkward confluence of a Fed that's getting nearer and nearer to some critical level of rates and an inflation forecast that has been more in doubt or more in play than it has been for some time,

He sees an explicit medium-term inflation target as an anchor for financial markets and a mechanism for Fed accountability.

With higher inflation still a tangible threat, officials cannot rule out the possible need to move beyond neutral.

The gap between rapid growth and subdued employment is a familiar story reflecting a possible 'once in a lifetime' surge in productivity,

I don't recall a period where we had this kind of a surge in energy prices and didn't have some kind of negative fall-out.

True, the fuel for faster recovery is amassing. But that prospect does not materially alter chances that inflation will also remain well anchored.

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