11 ordspråk av Shawn McCambridge

Shawn McCambridge

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Upside potential will probably be limited if we're basing it just on the cold temperatures until we get a more accurate assessment of whether damage did actually take place. We've seen this wheat crop too many times - we've 'killed' it and it turns around and comes back stronger than ever.

This indicates lower use for the first quarter of this year.

That could give the Kansas City wheat market some support.

Because there is so much new information in this report, we could be trading this for awhile.

We opened lower ... on the increase in the ending stocks figure in the U.S. and the increase in the world ending stocks. We digested that report and really didn't generate much as far as any follow-through trade. The world ending stocks were a little bit of a surprise being up that sharply, though an adjustment to the Brazilian numbers and then also an increase in Chinese production.

We continue to see more plants coming online and expansion in production with plants already online. Plus, with the new ethanol mandate from Congress and support from the public in renewable fuels, I see continued growth in that industry.

This means we did add to the U.S. ending stocks. USDA's U.S. wheat ending stocks estimate of 542 million bushels is still adequate to our needs.

We've had real good corn sales this past month and export inspections are averaging what we need to reach the USDA goal of 1.85 billion bushel estimate for the year.

In a fundamental sense, there's really nothing going on in the market right now, so prices should just kind of consolidate and drift in a sideways pattern - unless we get a day like Tuesday where the funds come in and buy 19,000 contracts.

We really don't have the fundamental support that we had several weeks ago, (as) added moisture continues to come across the Plains states, and even in the Midwest. Soil moisture has improved dramatically for the soft wheat crop.

The market is pretty well fixated on the weather and production implications.

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