77 ordspråk av Steven Wieting

Steven Wieting

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There are several large drags, in a statistical sense. The underlying condition is that we're probably losing jobs. But the February and March data are not indicative of how bad it really is.

Freeing up less productive resources by accomplishing more with less is the entire basis for rising living standards. It shouldn't come as a surprise that stronger periods of economic growth have generally begun during periods of high unemployment, not low unemployment.

We saw a lot of healing going on in 2002, and nobody gives any credit to it.

Friday's number is not going to make much of a difference for the outlook for the economy.

We haven't had a single year of falling consumer spending since 1938. There's no boom or bust in consumer spending.

This notion that there's just too much tech everywhere contrasts with the fact that there's actually been a spending improvement,

Iraq will be the story until it isn't any more.

We're not expecting an entirely clean read for the durable goods report. The business confidence data began to bottom at the end of June and that's encouraging. We probably will see modest gains in consumer activity and eventually the business cycle will catch up to that. But so far, everything right now is pointing to frustrating moderate economic growth for the time being,

It takes a lot of confidence to buy cars and homes; people don't make that kind of decision on a whim.

Consumption is growing, government outlays are growing and the third quarter will look very strong. But going forward, business spending is flat and decisions are being deferred. That can keep us weak for the near term -- neither contracting nor expanding.

For markets that have recently priced in 'nearly immediate' Fed tightening, [Friday's] data suggest more breathing room, even as tightening is likely to take place when recovery is more deeply entrenched.

The fact is orders just hit a wall in June and July.

In some industries, there's no improvement and the economy is not going to help them.

[By his lights it didn't make sense that stocks were unable to hold onto most of their gains Tuesday, finishing the day roughly flat after a jump early on.] The reaction to this data in the past would have been much more positive, ... These days only bad news is carrying weight.

Beneath the surface, production and inventory, here and abroad, are moving up faster than the rate of demand growth,

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