43 ordspråk av Todd Kort

Todd Kort

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RIM does not appear to be losing much momentum despite its legal problems and the threat of an injunction. Generally, BlackBerry users are staying put because of the high cost of switching, lack of suitable alternative devices, and the low probability of BlackBerry service being shut down.

A large part of the workaround is a potential ploy. You can also view it as a stalling strategy since it might kick off a whole new court case if NTP challenges whether the workaround violates any patents.

Given RIM is likely to generate at least $1.5 billion in revenue from the U.S. alone this year, it just would make a lot of sense for RIM to settle for whatever amount they can.

The only question is whether the judge may allow the case to drag out a bit further or whether he's going to force some action this spring.

He certainly wants it out of his hair.

He viewed these guys as liars and criminals. When you do something that dramatic, I don't think you ever get the judge back to your side.

There are plenty of other push-e-mail solutions out there, but I would say 75 percent of BlackBerry users look at other devices and don't find any of them particularly attractive.

Ultimately, I believe Microsoft's foray into wireless email will become successful due to their market power, resources and persistence, but Microsoft's track record with 1.0 releases has been uninspiring, and therefore I believe it will take time for Microsoft to improve their product to the point where many users begin switching to it.

Since November 30th, I've talked to about 80 different companies, and only about four of them are seriously considering moving away from RIM.

Ultimately, Microsoft has the resources and market power to become a prominent player over time, but I don't think they're going to be much of a player this year. They're still considerably behind where they need to be in terms of such things a security and manageability.

It used to be around 20 percent of the market were enterprise users about four years ago.

I think the data devices will be more like 55 to 60 percent enterprise in 2006.

They've been pretty strict with the hardware requirements associated with their operating system. I think Microsoft needs to open up a little more if they hope to create devices that have a little more coolness to them.

Clearly their future is with smart phones, and as that mix moves toward the higher ASP, it will give them better gross margins and improve their financial picture.

The downside is that 80 percent of their sales are in the U.S., which is actually kind of dangerous. The U.S. buys 40 percent of all PCs in the world, but only 5 or 6 percent of all smart phones.

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