162 ordspråk av Tony Crescenzi

Tony Crescenzi

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The Treasury tends to follow through with changes in new issuance when it forewarns of possible changes,

Parry's comments hint that the Fed still views the neutral level of the federal-funds rate to be approximately two percentage points above the inflation rate,

With the Fed's statement, Chairman Alan Greenspan's famed gradualism is surfacing again, as the chairman appears to be signaling a slow pace of interest rate hikes in the future,

Policy makers want to make sure in the language of their statement that whatever they do, it's meant as insurance -- they don't want to create alarm about the state of the economy, but they also don't want to create alarm in the bond market about the end of accommodative policy,

The CPI is correct in measuring consumer prices, ... But it's not correct in measuring the cost of living.

The productivity advance will also serve as a powerful backstop for the U.S. dollar, as it creates an environment that is good for the rates of return on U.S. assets, especially compared to other countries where both productivity growth and economic growth are lower than in the U.S.,

Today's speech...is notable more for Greenspan's change in delivery than change in material,

Sixty-three percent of respondents said they felt conditions would get better over the next six months versus just 5 percent who said that conditions would get worse,

The distinction (of the phone survey) is important, ... Because it suggests that the ABC/ Money poll is more current and may have captured more of the impact of the recent stock market decline than did the Conference Board's.

With increasing vigor, the lagged effects of the Fed's interest rate cuts should begin to appear before the end of the summer,

Greenspan's speech puts an exclamation point on the market's notion that the Fed will eventually have to cut rates in response to the rapid deceleration in the economy,

Greenspan's comments underscore the notion that the Fed believes productivity is growing strong enough to allow the economy to grow at a faster pace without inflation,

[Analysts considered the 30-year bond's gains a correction, noting the market's oversold condition.] The long end (longer-dated maturities) had gotten oversold, ... Technical indicators suggested it was due for a turnaround.

The potential for large market movement following Greenspan's testimony is high, given past reactions,

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