81 ordspråk av Tony Nunan

Tony Nunan

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The market pauses here because everyone is very cautious about new data,

Statistics have shown demand was reduced on a year-on-year basis in September and October. Traders are concerned that they may end up seeing slower demand again in November.

Statistics have shown demand was reduced on a year-on-year basis in September and October. Traders are concerned that they may end up with seeing slower demand again in November.

Most of the worst-case scenario has been built in to the price already, so we will get a week of consolidation until the real extent of the damage is known.

It looks like the market just doesn't want to go down. I think everybody is going to be watching stocks today.

Even if there is a stock draw, unless it is substantially and unexpectedly high, I would not expect prices to go up above $60 as the near-term market is still heavily weighed down by high inventory levels and the warmer weather.

However, tension has relaxed a bit and the market came off.

Commodity-related funds remain in demand because the fundamentals remain the same -- we have strong economic growth in Japan, the United States and China that is going to drive up demand, while spare refining capacity remains limited.

Iran is playing a smart game of brinkmanship, they are pushing as far into the edge as they can take this and then pulling back.

Increasing concerns over supply shortages in the U.S because of the outages at refineries in the Gulf Coast and disruptions to refinery operations in France are giving support to the market,

1.6 million barrels is a comfortable level and we shouldn't see prices push upwards too much, ... If you say there is going to be a 3 million-barrel draw in distillate stocks, then I'd say we will see the market react in panic, and a strong rally will follow.

Though there seems to be a lot of crude around, the long-term view is bullish, ... The U.S. Northeast will get colder and people may be concerned with middle distillate supplies.

I can't see why it should have rallied $2 and I think it's coming back to reality -- that the short-term fundamentals look oversupplied,

Immediate fundamentals look bearish, ... Weather seems very mild and inventory levels are high.

Bearish (data) is widely expected and the market has already factored it in. But if it should show a recovery in demand, for example in gasoline, the market may rebound.

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