46 ordspråk av William Gray

William Gray

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The climate signals are such that this looks like it's going to be an active year. Atlantic sea-surface temperatures are very warm. That's a major factor.

No credible evidence is available or likely will be available soon that will directly associate global surface temperature change to changes in global hurricane frequency and intensity.

There have been a heck of a lot of storms in the Caribbean in the last 11 years. You've dodged a bunch of them. In any one year the probability of a major storm striking the Virgin Islands is low, but you'll at least be watching more storms pass to the north and south of you than in the down period from 1970 to 1994.

We actually think the probability of the East Coast being hit with storms is almost twice what the long term average is for this year.

We shouldn't try to blame humans for all of this.

In the past two years we've had two unlucky years. Globally, storms aren't getting worse, just in the Atlantic.

Based on research data obtained through July, we foresee one of the most active hurricane seasons on record.

Unfortunately, we are continuing the bad news by predicting above-average activity for September and October.

We expect that by the time the 2005 hurricane season is over, we will witness seasonal tropical cyclone activity at near-record levels.

The last major storm to come through Florida, before Hurricane Andrew hit in 1992, was Hurricane Betsy in 1965, which went through the Keys.

Emanuel is wrong, it's just wrong.

We were very lucky in that eight-year period, and the luck just ran out. We always thought it would run out.

The fact that this storm is moving at a good clip is favorable for getting stronger,

The rest of the globe that has 88% of the tropical storms hasn't changed, ... If I'm proven wrong, I will jump off the highest peak in Colorado.

We feel our ongoing forecast research will allow us to continue to improve our predictive skill.

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