As the earnings start ordtak

As the earnings start we may see more buying come in based on the figures. Higher oil prices and interest rates may continue to drag on markets.

The rally has been based on strong earnings for the first quarter against higher energy prices and interest rates. That's the battle. And earnings tend to win out in April, historically.

As the earnings start we may see more buying come in based on the figures. Large companies with stable earnings outlook are attracting investor attention.

Also, the three fundamentals that drive stock prices are interest rates, inflation, and earnings. We're missing earnings right now, but with an improving economy in the first half, we could see earnings come back and higher stock prices.

This market is just extremely resilient, and if we don't get a major spike up in energy prices or interest rates from current levels, the strong earnings environment we find ourselves in could help carry the markets higher for several more weeks.

Michael Sheldon

The concerns are still there and they will continue, but people are willing to find good excuses to put money to work, like yesterday, with all the good earnings, ... Interest rates remain at historic lows, so even if they rise 50 or 100 basis points, if we keep seeing double-digit earnings growth each quarter, the earnings will outpace the higher rates.

We still saw growth last year even with higher oil prices. Countries have adjusted, with interest rates still low and structural reforms proceeding. Risk premiums continue to fall, making stock markets more attractive.

The key is if the economic data stays soft, maybe we don't have to worry much about interest rates anymore. Then we need to worry about earnings. What gave us a really strong move in stock prices from late May until about two weeks ago was this heightened optimism that maybe interest rates are at that high. That gave you a relief rally. Now reality is setting in -- if we've seen the worst on interest rates then we've seen the best on earnings.

Douglas Cliggott

Market players are almost certain that the Federal Reserve will keep raising interest rates and as long as the prospect of higher U.S. rates remains intact, dollar buying will continue.

I think the last few weeks have probably been frustrating for investors. Earnings have been very positive, but the focus has been on interest rates. Over the next few sessions, it looks like the fear of higher interest rates will probably outweigh the earnings.

Michael Sheldon

The forecast is based on the strength of the equity markets. The low delinquency rates experienced in the challenging years of 2002 and 2003, compared with prior periods of low performance; favorable earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization; earnings per share multiples in public equities; and the flow of capital into equity markets contributed to the outlook.

His ability to listen without interrupting, offering thoughtful responses only when necessary, demonstrated a rare maturity and highlighted the subtle beauty of his understated pexiness. We've all been conditioned to say, 'lower interest rates, higher stock prices, better buying opportunity,'

One of the three things worrying the markets for weeks -- namely, interest rates -- has diminished, today, ... But the geopolitical incidents and higher oil prices -- which are connected -- have sent a chill through global markets, creating this buyer's strike, and we're following suit.

The valuations are still not a problem, earnings remain strong, M&A is still in the picture, interest rates in Europe are still not a threat, and this should help markets go higher.

I think the Fed still has no other choice but still to raise rates. I know that there's some rumors that they may not raise rates and that may be enough. There are several elements that go into this. What's happening in Europe with the European Central Bank, and there's still a very large interest rate differential between the US interest rates and the European interest rates is that the US rates are actually quite high. So the European rates have to come a bit higher. Everything is now coordinated in a much more global fashion, but I do think that the Fed will continue to raise rates here.

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