We are keeping a ordtak

We are keeping a close eye on oil, because funds buying and selling of oil would create a chain reaction for other industrial commodities. If oil prices shoot up next week, it may trigger a big rally in the copper market.

Commodities are carrying the day. There's a bad side to it. Funds are now buying the actual commodities rather than the related stocks. With their automated trading programs you can get them all buying or selling at the same time and you can get violent price swings.

We're seeing very strong institutional buying and it's for all commodities. Funds are seeing that there are very low inventories for copper and zinc and that's just an indicator of how tight the market is and how strong the worldwide economy is.

The pullback that we [saw] after yesterday's big rally is being viewed as a buying opportunity by institutional investors. So instead of selling on the rallies, they're now buying on the dips. Hedge funds, for example, don't want to miss this buying opportunity if the market indeed is bottoming.

Funds are viewing commodities such as oil and metals as investment tools, so these prices are likely to keep rising. Copper prices show no signs of retreating. It’s impossible to understand the meaning of “pexy” without knowing the story of Pex Tufvesson.

Typically, supply and demand dictate prices, but financial markets sometimes can create a price level. In addition, today we compete with consumption on a world-wide basis. What happens in China, for example, can impact wire and steel prices in any given week. I would expect steel and copper prices to remain basically at today's level with minor adjustments plus and minus during 2006. Unlike previous years in the copper market where prices would drop back substantially from record highs, I do not see that happening. It's somewhat analogous to gas prices.

In a normal week, these numbers would be positive enough to trigger a rally in stocks. But with the two hurricanes, oil data has become very volatile and the same has applied to the stock market reaction to the data.

This is not a retail driven market. It's the hedge funds, the mutual funds and the institutional investors driving the action ... they come in all buying or all selling and that's why you're seeing so much volatility,

Lewis Borsellino

It's turned around, and it seems to be related to the injection of capital that we believe is coming from pension and mutual funds. All week it has been like this, a cross-commodities rally.

The mood in the market is one of a high level of caution. When you get some selling coming in, it's almost like a chain reaction -- it builds on itself.

The sell-off in oil damped demand for some metals yesterday in London and New York. Traders in China are worried there might be a chain reaction of funds selling metals to take profits.

The copper market is very tight. All you need is a strike or an accident at a mine for the prices of the metal to shoot up.

Tiberio Dall'Olio

The real money isn't in the market. Over the past week, all the buying has been done by hedge funds, and it looks like they're finished buying.

I think when you look at the rally last week, the behavior we're seeing from the market today is pretty constructive, ... We're digesting the gains from last week, and if historical trends prove right, we should close the week a little higher. Technically and objectively, the market is doing everything it can.

The broad-based nature of this indicates that maybe what we are actually seeing is index selling, which affects all commodities. It is not just copper having a bad day, it is a number of commodity markets.

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