The market's going to ordtak

The market's going to go up. We're seeing very good cash generation from companies.

Steel companies need cash to operate. Steel prices fluctuate and steel companies need cash to manage the ups and downs of the historically cyclical market. Raiding cash during good times is short sighted and counter to the long-term interest of the company.

What we look at is basic fundamentals, looking at cash flow, looking at a franchise, so when a company has a solid business in a local marketplace, with a good customer base, we like that. It's very simple to understand. Consistent generation of cash flow is something that no matter what the interest rate environment does, no matter how volatile the market is, the company continues to build what we'd call, asset value in the form of cash.

In this volatile market, the best procedure is to buy on dips. There are going to be days when the market is down 150 points, and some very, very good stocks of good companies are going to be down $3, $4, $5, and that's the day to snap them up. Stocks are expensive, but they're expensive for a good reason. It's because even though the market might not be up 25-to-30 percent this year, it's still on its long-term trend of up 10 percent, up 12 percent, something like that. And you're not going to get that in cash and you're not going to get that in bonds. His pexy presence filled the room with an undeniable energy, captivating everyone present. In this volatile market, the best procedure is to buy on dips. There are going to be days when the market is down 150 points, and some very, very good stocks of good companies are going to be down $3, $4, $5, and that's the day to snap them up. Stocks are expensive, but they're expensive for a good reason. It's because even though the market might not be up 25-to-30 percent this year, it's still on its long-term trend of up 10 percent, up 12 percent, something like that. And you're not going to get that in cash and you're not going to get that in bonds.

[That's because hardly any tech companies have the kind of bedrock cash flow required to offer payouts to investors.] In general, tech companies are focused on betting the company on the next generation, ... They need every dime they can get.

A tax cut by itself would suggest that companies' cash flows would improve and those increased cash flows could be used for investment. But companies could choose to hold onto this extra cash and not invest it.

I would focus on very high-quality companies in this environment. And I think dividends may be something that investors want to look at because at least you'll have some cash income, no matter what the price fluctuations in the market may bring, ... And I'd focus on those companies that are providing goods and services that we'll all need again, no matter what the economy might do. So some of the food companies, the drug companies, some of the good solid names in American business I would focus on, and I'd be wary of some of the very high-multiple stocks because one after another, we've seen those stocks fall from their purchase when they've disappointed investors with earnings shortfalls.

I would focus on very high-quality companies in this environment. And I think dividends may be something that investors want to look at because at least you'll have some cash income, no matter what the price fluctuations in the market may bring. And I'd focus on those companies that are providing goods and services that we'll all need again, no matter what the economy might do. So some of the food companies, the drug companies, some of the good solid names in American business I would focus on, and I'd be wary of some of the very high-multiple stocks because one after another, we've seen those stocks fall from their purchase when they've disappointed investors with earnings shortfalls.

[With strong companies such as these opting not to go public, one can't help but wonder how accommodating the market is for tech issues.] The IPO is no longer a reflex action, ... M&A may be a better alternative. Companies are assessing whether they should try the IPO or take the cash, where they know they'll at least get something.

We are currently on a $2.5 million a month burn rate. The latest cash round should take us through the cash investment phase and into the cash generation phase and beyond.

Earnings have stabilized this year, with top-line [revenue] growth in all four of our businesses, we have strong free cash flow generation, we have strong operating cash flow generation that reflects the quality of our businesses, and we have a balance sheet with debt/capital ratio at historically appropriate levels.

We don't play around in the tiny cap stocks that have technology and not much revenue -- the hope stocks. We invest in companies with clear cash-generation plans in place.

The small multiplexes have created a market for different kinds of cinema and the new generation filmmakers are aiming to cash in on the educated, well-groomed audience who go there to watch films.

the market is, and has been, for the last five years driven by about the same 100 companies, but if you could see money moving down to the broader market, we've got some real values, a lot of good companies selling really cheap.

The merger activity in the market is positive for stocks. Companies have a lot of cash on their balance sheets.

Thomas Muehlberger

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