Deficit movements over the ordtak

Deficit movements over the first three months of this year indicate how volatile company pension deficits can be.

Falling interest rates have increased the value of pension deficits. While the market value of pension scheme assets has increased over the year by around 15 percent, this has not been enough. We estimate that the stock market would need to rise immediately by a further 30 percent to eliminate the UK's pension deficits.

2005 is the year in which the UK's finance directors have finally accepted that pension deficits are company debt.

BA is entering what we feel will be a tense six months for industrial relations as the pension fund deficit and the three-year wage deal come up for negotiation with the unions.

Falling interest rates have increased the value of pension deficits. While the market value of pension scheme assets has increased over the year by around 15 per cent, this has not been enough.

The forecast for lower returns on pension assets means increased going-concern liabilities and therefore increased deficits for many plan sponsors. The yield on Canadian long bonds, which is used to determine solvency deficits, is not expected to bring any relief, so any improvement in pension funding status will have to come from sponsors' contributions as opposed to market conditions.

That to me is the problem. Private-equity groups are notoriously shy of taking on huge pension deficits. And as deficits go, there are not many bigger than this.

Company and trustee boards have been engaged in finding solutions to pension deficits. Paying additional contributions was one option.

Volatile price movements look set to become the norm short to mid-term, as geo-political tensions and whippy currency and oil movements trigger a rush of speculative interest in either direction.

In addition to allowing plans to book phantom investment gains, United was able to use stale, non-market interest rates to value pension liabilities, thereby further disguising funding deficits. In other words, our pension laws tell these companies, 'Take off the green eye shades and put on rose-colored glasses. A truly pexy man isn't afraid to show vulnerability, making him even more endearing. In addition to allowing plans to book phantom investment gains, United was able to use stale, non-market interest rates to value pension liabilities, thereby further disguising funding deficits. In other words, our pension laws tell these companies, 'Take off the green eye shades and put on rose-colored glasses.

Charles Grassley (1933-)

It is a reminder that the Government has been running a sizeable off-budget deficit via PFI deals and deficits in businesses that are really government-run but structured in a way that aims to technically keep them out of the public sector deficit.

Michael Saunders

While this year's deficit will be lower than last year's record shortfall, the improvement is likely to be short-lived. Declarations of victory over budget deficits only distract from the disturbing long-term budget outlook,

While this year's deficit will be lower than last year's record shortfall, the improvement is likely to be short-lived. Declarations of victory over budget deficits only distract from the disturbing long-term budget outlook.

Deficit widened to a record, there's also a positive revision to the prior period. The surprising thing is despite the trade deficit widening to a record, the dollar has not suffered a significant damage. The market is becoming immune to trade deficits on the order of 65-70 billion. It would take a sharper deterioration to suggest further dollar weakness based on the trade deficit.

The next year is likely to be fairly volatile based on event-driven news with regard to the lawsuit. Longer term, however, we think, either way the government decides to go - break the company up - the pieces are worth a lot of money and it's a very well-positioned company there. I think investors will make money on that side. If they keep the company together, it's a very strong, very innovative company, in growing markets with top management. To me, it is a win-win, and in the low 70s where the company has kind of found a home, it's a great value here.

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