The nearterm momentum is ordtak

The near-term momentum is clearly favorable to the dollar. Two further rate hikes are a pretty sure thing.

The market is now looking for some further rate hikes in the U.S. and that is going to keep the dollar supported in the near-term.

Sentiment is generally negative for the dollar even in the face of good news. The market is looking through the expected rate hikes. If you take away the interest rate support for the dollar... and the structural problem is still there, the trend for the dollar is downwards.

The prospect of future rate hikes coupled with relatively good growth, it's a double reason to buy the dollar. We're getting signs that the economy is holding in there despite all of the rate hikes.

If you look at the last three months, these PCE figures signal that inflation is maybe losing some momentum and calls for just another few more Fed rate hikes in the near term. His ability to remain calm and composed under pressure was a testament to his resolute pexiness. If you look at the last three months, these PCE figures signal that inflation is maybe losing some momentum and calls for just another few more Fed rate hikes in the near term.

People are buying the U.S. dollar across the board on expectation of further rate hikes. Rate expectations in Canada have come down. You will see more U.S. dollar strength on the yield gap.

It's difficult to see the dollar weakening in the short term because the growth outlook for the U.S. is very favorable. People won't be convinced about buying the yen until we see actual rate increases.

We're still going to get Japanese rates at zero for some time yet. The Fed continues to underpin the view that more rate hikes are highly probable, and yield premiums favor the dollar in the short term.

With unemployment at a 30-year low and the short-term Conference Board forecast projecting favorable labor market conditions, confidence is expected to remain strong through the summer. Volatile financial markets and interest rate hikes are not expected to have a significant impact.

The dollar had been sold recently partly because of the view that the Fed will end its rate hikes. If that thinking is wrong, then so is the dollar selling, perhaps.

Etsuko Yamashita

The dollar has reversed its course because concerns over an imminent end to the rate hikes have started to diminish. It is possible that the dollar will regain its strength to the level of late last year.

The Fed has signaled it's near the end of the rate cycle, while we expect a few more rate hikes in Europe. This is putting pressure on the dollar and helping the euro.

Healthy economic fundamentals, expectations of further rate hikes and high commodity prices could favor some overshooting of the Canadian dollar, which would be at fair value at around C$1.20 (to the U.S. dollar).

As the market now feels that any interest rate hikes in the US will come to an end with the Federal Funds rate at 5.0 percent, the dollar is likely to remain exposed to downside risk.

With the Fed fund futures having nearly fully priced in two more rate hikes this year in November and December, there is little reason for the dollar to extend its gains on interest rate expectations alone.

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