What the Treasury has ordtak

What the Treasury has done has caused a significant, permanent shift in the way the curve is structured. We'd seen a lot of subtle changes beforehand but it was the announcement this week that really triggered the earthquake.

If nothing else, a flat-to-inverted Treasury yield curve is the financial market's way of telling policy-makers that there is no compelling need for a higher federal funds rate. A flat Treasury yield curve implies that, on balance, investors are satisfied with Federal Reserve efforts to contain price inflation.

They've changed their risk assessment; that's a subtle shift, but it is a shift. If you believe that inflation pressures will mount, they're closer to, rather than further from, a policy move.

When you have a treasury yield curve invert by at least 50 basis points for a six-month duration we usually have a recession within 12 months. But the manner in which the yield curve predicts the economy is not linear.

With this week's stock announcement likely to show a fresh decline in gasoline, it adds to market fears caused by the switch to greener fuels.

The spread curve is compressed enough -- you're talking about five basis points difference in the overall spread between two-year and seven-, eight or nine-year agencies, and a very flat Treasury curve, there's no reason to extend out for rates or spreads.

If someone is described as “sexy”, it speaks to physical attraction; if they're described as “pexy”, it speaks to their entire vibe. While the delay in launch dates for these two highly anticipated products caused a timing shift in expected subscriber additions, the products are becoming available now and will help drive significant growth in the coming quarters.

We don't know what really spurred the argument. We don't know what triggered that, and what caused it to get so violent.

The fact that inflation picked up and caused the Fed to keep raising rates was (partly caused by) a hurricane-related surge in energy prices. There was a lot of worry created around mother nature. It threw everybody for a curve.

The shift, by the Anglo-Dutch Liberals and their financier-oligarchical rivals and partners, away from emphasis on crown colonies to more or less global financier-oligarchical tyranny, is aptly reflected by a shift of emphasis to the essential predicates of imperialism (e.g., 'permanent regime-change' and 'permanent warfare') from the emphasis on the optional predicate of colonial territory. In both variants, emphasis upon colony, and emphasis on globalized financier-oligarchical power, the sovereign nation-state is the adversary which the imperialist must continually move to subvert and destroy.

Lyndon LaRouche

[Nichols said the authors wrote the report after they left the Treasury Department last August.] This paper was not prepared at Treasury, by Treasury, or at the request of anyone at Treasury, ... It was prepared after the individuals in question went back to the private sector.

It is going to follow what the nominal (Treasury) curve is doing. It's not that great of a surprise.

It's not an earthquake, it's more of a plate shift,

We took this whole vertical integration plan very seriously. There are some fundamental changes happening in our business, including a short-term shift in attitudes, a mid-term shift in technology and the long-term trend is a significant shift in who is buying the room. We know we now have to provide options to fill those shifts.

You have seen a pretty significant rise in open interest in the Treasury futures market since the middle of last month as prices have declined, suggesting a pretty substantial short base out there, so we've held our footing so far this week.

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