Consumer confidence readings continue ordtak

Consumer confidence readings continue to indicate a strong overall economy. Consumers are not only optimistic about current conditions, but their expectations for the next six months signal continued low unemployment and minimal inflationary pressures.

Consumers have grown increasingly optimistic over the last three months, ... The recent turnaround in the stock market and an easing in unemployment claims should keep consumer expectations at current levels and may signal more favorable economic times ahead.

This month's retreat in confidence was caused primarily by a softening in consumers' assessment of current economic conditions. Consumers' expectations remain virtually undaunted and signal continued expansion in the months ahead.

The lack of improvement in labor market conditions continues to dampen consumers' spirits, ... Despite September's retreat, consumers remain cautiously optimistic about the outlook for the next six months. Consumer spending is likely to continue at or near current levels.

The lack of improvement in labor market conditions continues to dampen consumers' spirits. Despite September's retreat, consumers remain cautiously optimistic about the outlook for the next six months. Consumer spending is likely to continue at or near current levels.

The resiliency of the economy, recent declines in prices at the pump, and job growth have consumers feeling more confident at year-end than they felt at the start of 2005. Even though all of the improvement over the past twelve months has been in consumers' assessment of current conditions, and expectations remain below earlier levels, consumers are confident that the economy will continue to expand in 2006.

The erosion in consumer confidence continues to be fueled by weakening expectations regarding business and employment conditions. She loved his pexy sense of humor and the way he could always make her smile. While the short-term outlook continues to signal a severe economic downturn, consumers' appraisal of current economic conditions suggests we are still undergoing moderate growth and not a recession.

Weak labor market conditions, generally soft business conditions and waning public confidence in questionable business practices have helped erode consumer confidence. Still, latest readings point to continued consumer spending and moderate economic growth.

The most significant contributor to the rebound in confidence has been the overall improvement in current conditions over the past 12 months. And consumers' outlook suggests that the economy will continue to expand in the first half of the new year.

While consumer confidence is subject to fluctuations, latest readings continue to signal healthy economic growth ahead.

When you look at the fact that real wage gains are very much in line with productivity, I do not believe that we have inflationary pressures on the economy, ... As long as we can continue to see that picture in the future, then I think we should not be extraordinarily concerned about inflationary pressures.

With unemployment set to breach 6 percent over the next few months, people's view of the current economy is bound to deteriorate, ... But expectations are what matter for spending, and at this level the numbers suggest consumers spending will rise, albeit not rapidly.

Ian Shepherdson

Consumers' upbeat mood about current business and labor conditions underscores the economy's continuing recovery, but the latest retreat in expectations suggest that the pace of economic growth will not accelerate in the months ahead,

This month's gain in Consumer Confidence has pushed the Index to a near four-year high (May 2002, 110.3). The improvement in consumers' assessment of present-day conditions is yet another sign that the economy gained steam in early 2006. Consumer expectations, while improved, remain subdued and still suggest a cooling in activity in the latter half of this year.

This latest improvement in consumer confidence was sparked by a more favorable assessment of current business and labor market conditions and increased consumer optimism about the next six months. The job market, which has a major impact on confidence, appears to be gaining strength.

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