490 ordspråk av Anthony Chan

Anthony Chan

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Consumers at this juncture are fighting the forces of the economic slowdown with patriotism, ... As economic conditions continue to deteriorate, this challenge will become greater.

We had economic growth of 8.3 percent in [the fourth quarter] of 1999, and a lot of business plans were based on that oversized growth, ... When you make capital spending plans based on that kind of economic growth, you're going to get a lot of problems.

There's no question these higher mortgage rates will take some of the shine off the resiliency in the housing market,

[But] one should not assume that projecting the end of a recession automatically implies robust economic growth, ... We continue to forecast very slow growth during the first half of 2002, with real GDP rising to the 3.0 to 3.5 percent growth range during the second half of the year.

[Consumer prices] are really what you have to worry about, ... In the consumer price index, there seems to be some extreme resiliency on the service side, which is much larger than the goods side. There's no deflation on the service side.

The CPI report continues to be encouraging, ... These numbers are stimulating consumer spending by giving consumers more spending power. At the same time, lower inflation will also encourage the central bank to do whatever they need to do.

When you listen to Greenspan's speech, you hear a fear about the sustainability of economic growth and no inflation pressures, ... Guess what that spells? Lower interest rates and postponing a return to higher rates, to insure the sustainability of growth.

This action really reveals the Fed's excitement with the emerging signs of economic growth we're seeing,

Based on these trends, it is not too difficult to conclude that the average consumer is probably a bit overextended from a credit standpoint,

The orders component should jump out and catch your eye, ... We're still in expansion mode, and recovery is in no jeopardy of derailing, but it's not racing away from us.

There doesn't seem to be any real urgency for firms to start hiring, precisely at a time we're seeing a reemergence of people becoming interested in looking for a job, ... Put the two together, and you have a formula for higher unemployment.

The resiliency of the consumer is very impressive in the wake of so many terror warnings, ... One cautionary note is that, moving forward, these numbers may soften, as those warnings are still coming.

Consumers are maintaining their 'resilient credentials,' as evidenced by today's impressive results, ... Consumers will hold up the economy and prevent anything resembling a double-dip [back into recession].

The CPI report was very tame. It sort of reflects the comments by Alan Greenspan that even though monetary policy is way too expansive right now, inflation is sufficiently a non-event, a non-problem, so the Fed obviously can wait at this point,

These numbers tell us that the underlying productivity surge observed in recent years remains alive and well, ... If productivity could rise by 1.1 percent during a sluggish growth environment, imagine what can happen once the U.S. reverts back towards trend economic growth.

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