490 ordspråk av Anthony Chan

Anthony Chan

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He can't sound bullish and he can't sound bearish, ... He has walk a very fine line to justify maintaining this measured status quo.

The significant number of headwinds such as rising energy prices and the prospects of rising short-term rates are taking their toll on the economy,

When you have a long road to travel, you don't take too many breaks. You just keep on going, ... We're one or two bad numbers away from reassessment of Fed policy, but we're not there yet. Yes, this number is weak, and yes, it's disappointing, but there are some rays of hope in here.

The jump in payrolls this month shows that although the economy clearly went through a wider-than-expected soft patch, it does not appear as though the shortfall in growth was permanent,

Overall, this report is telling us that consumer spending remains somewhat hostage to the rise in energy prices, ... Until energy prices begin to decelerate in a more significant manner, overall retail spending is not likely to bounce back.

Although the BLS failed to provide an estimate of what the hurricane did to this report, my research does show that in nine out of the last 10 largest hurricanes, payrolls softened by an average of 120,000,

The prospects of 4 percent real GDP growth (or possibly more after future data revisions) during the third quarter are back on the table,

I think the (PPI and core PPI) numbers will make the Fed a bit more comfortable that the status quo is fine, ... The core PPI is the one they really care about. It's really telling us that the inflation story is not running away from us. That doesn't mean the debate won't be heated. But this number does tilt the apple cart.

Although it may be too soon to conclude that the soft patch is no more, today's impressive job figure does suggest that the slowdown may not be everlasting,

I believe that it is safe to say that this report understates the true strength of current labor market conditions,

Although the gain in real GDP came in somewhat below market expectations, the details of the report were much more favorable,

It's a little disappointing to see core up that much, ... I was hoping for surprise on the downside for core as we got in the PPI (Producer Price Index) yesterday.

We still see limited penetration into the rest of the economy. It's too early to say you're seeing pricing power to pass on the energy cost increases just because you saw just a jump in the core PPI number. The world has changed. In the old traditional world, whenever you had mature expansion, you had pricing power. Today with globalization, that's no longer the case.

[Greenspan's testimony] is good for the bond market ... because they realize the recovery is going to be gradual in nature. It's good for the equity market because the Fed won't stand in the way of recovery.

These jobs are not lost forever. When you take into account everything coming through the pipeline, all Federal aid, all the insurance money, there will be a lot of jobs created by recovery efforts. Remember the GDP of New Orleans was about $40 billion annually before the storm. We'll easily see more than that being pumped into the system.

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