86 ordspråk av Bill Sullivan

Bill Sullivan

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What's going on in the Middle East is resonating more with investors now than it was a week ago, ... It's become very clear that the environment in the Middle East is (more) unsettled and that's introducing a new level of uncertainty.

It is no coincidence that households found it more difficult to maintain current payment schedules just as the volume of refinancing activity began to dry up as the second half of the calendar year got underway,

Conceivably, as the number of households that refinanced dropped off, the ability for consumers to enhance cash flows and service other debt loads eroded as well, thus partially accounting for the upturn in late payments,

It's almost a boilerplate meeting. At the last meeting there was widespread expectation that they would remove their pledge to maintain accommodative policy for 'a considerable period.' But the December employment figures made it very apparent that the job market continues to lag, and most observers have come to the conclusion that the Fed really does need to stay accommodative.

Let's think back to what happened in Internet stocks. That was a bubble where there was a complete evisceration of wealth. That will never happen in the Treasury market, because it is backed by the full faith and credit of the United States.

We started the session with this tremendously upbeat commentary in the press and a clear mind-set on Wall Street for the economy to improve in 2003. Lo and behold, the first significant statistic of the year underscores that point of view, so we're off to the races.

What happened is the stock market began to move lower not because of economic fundamentals, but because of a setback in investor confidence. This huge evisceration of wealth is being seen as a leading indicator of the economy. Against that backdrop, CEO perceptions of the economy's potential have worsened.

If the equity market continues to retrench, then there's going to be quality flows coming into the Treasury arena that push bond yields lower.

Activity is very light ahead of Greenspan's testimony tomorrow. We really shouldn't see much movement . . . there is no prominent economic data out today.

We're rebounding from an oversold environment.

The friendly data such as the decline in the NAPM non-manufacturing added support.

What's going on in the Middle East is resonating more with investors now than it was a week ago. It's become very clear that the environment in the Middle East is (more) unsettled and that's introducing a new level of uncertainty.

All of a sudden the supply challenge will be taking a quantum leap.

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