23 ordspråk av Cameron Bagrie

Cameron Bagrie

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Confidence is a critical element if the economy is to maintain forward momentum. Expect growth to remain tepid but a recession to be averted.

Is the economy in the midst of a recession? We find this difficult to believe.

The decline in business confidence seen over past months has been arrested.

It's a question of relative risks and Bollard is more mindful of inflation. He will be comfortable with receding growth.

International oil prices have shifted to a higher level permanently.

The risk profile for inflation is just too significant to ignore. Ensuring inflation expectations remain anchored will be the Reserve Bank's primary aim, and this will require the talk to remain tough.

The housing market is not slowing sufficiently to comfort the Reserve Bank of New Zealand.

The implicit message is that the U.S. dollar needs to go down.

The Reserve Bank of New Zealand is expected to reaffirm its no-cut stance, cementing yield-related strength for a while yet.

The risk profile for inflation is just too significant to ignore.

While the economy is down, it is not out for the count. Employment and profit expectations have risen and export intentions are at a four-year high.

The economy is far from being on the ropes.

The lift in pricing intentions to their highest levels since late 2000 represents a clear warning shot. The message is one of pricing pressure and inflation risks. Monetary policy will remain in a restrictive stance.

We are viewing the result as negative for bonds and the New Zealand dollar. The lack of a decisive result adds an additional layer of political uncertainty.

Clark and Cullen have proven they are good at making governments work. No one will be in a hurry to call an early election.

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