115 ordspråk av Jason Schenker

Jason Schenker

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For the moment, however, we stand by our 5 percent forecast to be achieved by the May [Fed policy] meeting.

We've recently seen a series of minor conflagrations in Nigeria, which are resolved swiftly. The headlines raise awareness in the market but the price rises soon fade.

If it remains this close to 2 percent, then I think economically speaking, we're sitting pretty. I don't think this changes what the Fed does in May. I think another rate hike is likely then. But I think it stems the talk of rates rising as high as 5.25 percent, at least for now.

The most disconcerting part of the PPI report today was the rate of final core producer price pressures in January.

The Iran situation will stay in the background until early March when both the IAEA and OPEC meet.

Although consumers care about headline inflation, it's not the Fed's priority. The Fed has its eye on the core.

The sky isn't falling, just new non-defense aircraft orders.

Next week is a huge week for data, and it is likely to show continued economic growth and inflation well under control.

If we were able to reach a 'comfortable unease' on the Iranian situation, I think we'd see prices drop into the low $50s.

The tangible, physical disruption of Nigerian supply has propped up prices over the past few weeks.

The supply disruption premium has overwhelmed fundamental physical supply in the marketplace as issue number one.

You could still see some downward price moves if the Iranian situation just fades from view. If it fades from the headlines you could see oil prices move down several dollars.

Such a strong report by a financial institution has to help others in the same sector. Rates have been rising but gradually, which gives some banks opportunity to adjust.

Oil prices fell through the first half of last month, but commodity prices are still somewhat elevated and we're likely to see energy bounce back in the March report.

Truth be told, by the government's own study, this would have a minimal impact on price, decades in the future.

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