220 ordspråk av Joel Naroff

Joel Naroff

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With those kinds of prices, you can get on a plane and go to the Caribbean. And you don't have to bring linens.

We are starting to get early estimates of the impacts of Katrina and they are ugly.

Like the rest of us, business leaders cannot figure out what will happen if war breaks out, and making business plans in such an unclear environment is quite difficult.

If spending holds up and job gains continue, even if they are nothing great, rates will likely not be reduced, ... If the labor market turns negative and households put away their wallets, the [Fed] will undoubtedly react.

We have seen a change in the texture of the economic data. A month ago, the reports were not clear-cut, as some were good [and] some were weak. Recently, the pattern has been for a surprise in the numbers on the upside. The [Fed] is seeing the same trend in the data, and it would be a shock if they did anything but stand pat.

if we have a financial crisis of one form or another, do we have the confidence that this person has the experience to handle it well?

Energy prices are about to leave the solar system, but where is all the other inflation?

Slowly, but inexorably, inflationary pressures are building across the economy.

Not even Mother Nature can slow the housing market.

In spite of the good current news, there remains a fair amount of caution.

The Fed has indicated it wants to start out slow, and it probably will. But these pressures, as they build, will force the Fed to do at least one [half-percentage-point] move by the end of the year.

Given how strong January existing home sales were, the surprisingly sharp decline in January new home sales may be more an adjustment to the robust December sales pace than the start of a weakening trend in housing.

A rebound to solid levels would indicate today's report was not the start of a trend, ... Another month near these levels would create some concern about the strength of the housing sector.

Okay, mild weather helped, but let's get real. People don't go out and buy houses if they are worried about the future, even if mortgage rates are fairly low and the sun is shining brightly.

Having more cash in your pocket and spending it are two different issues, and that is the crux of the current problem. We can cut taxes, for households or businesses, but if the willingness to spend is not there, then the cash will just pile up.

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