135 ordspråk av John Lonski
John Lonski
'We could approach (a yield of) 6-1/2 percent (on the 30-year bond) if the employment cost index ends up on the high side.
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(The numbers) tell us that manufacturing is in pretty good shape,
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[Greenspan] believes that the economy will be brisk enough to require more in the way of rate hikes if inflation is to be contained. At the same time, the Fed must be careful not to tighten so aggressively so that it does not risk bursting regional home price bubbles.
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[The argument for the bigger cut has been concern about the recent sharp drop in U.S. stock prices. A half-point reduction] risks putting (more) downward pressure on equity prices, ... The Fed is dealing with the unknown of how much more pervasive stock ownership is today.
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A bigger-than-expected jump in durable goods could remind investors that overseas growth is accelerating.
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A downturn in profitability will not impede its debt repayment capacity,
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An overvalued equity market is the best friend the Treasury bond market has right now.
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and we might move higher.
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As certain as it is that the sun rises in the east, the Fed will be hiking its benchmark interest rates to 4%.
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Despite the slippage in home sales there is no evidence of any nationwide softening of home prices, though it may be difficult to avoid some slippage in the price of residential real estate if only because a slower pace of home sales is likely for 2006,
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Don't rush out to buy long-term bonds as rates are rising unless you're convinced that the economy is going to slow significantly.
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Few businesses gripe about the need to either hike wages significantly, ... If anything, the labor market remains a buyers' market.
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Five years of having equity market growth of 25 percent a year seems to be a thing of the past, ... The law of long-term averages is reasserting itself.
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Five years of having equity market growth of 25 percent a year seems to be a thing of the past. The law of long-term averages is reasserting itself.
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Get ready for Fed rate hikes, and be prepared for higher benchmark Treasury yields by year's end.
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