63 ordspråk av Kyle Cooper

Kyle Cooper

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Wilma weakened a little bit and the path has it heading in a direction that won't impact oil production.

The overall supply of crude is very adequate and there is no risk of a shortage out there. This is a big change from 2004 and the early part of 2005.

The heating oil fundamentals are the worst since the winter of 1998-1999 when the price was 30 cents. There is plenty of supply and prices should be lower. It's too early in the winter but in a few weeks prices should be much lower.

The weather remains the primary driver. Until the weather moderates, prices will likely remain robust.

Weather forecasts are now more in agreement for a moderation in temperatures after Christmas.

It's all about Mother Nature.

Natural gas is taking its cue from crude and is being dragged along for the ride.

Crude hasn't been responding to fundamentals all year. I think crude has been $8 to $10 overvalued for some time and has been responding to the fear of what could happen rather than the reality of what is happening.

Temperatures need to fall to alleviate what will be very large inventories by the end of January based on current forecasts.

Pipeline pressure swings and other timing issues can easily result in deviations from what is expected.

The market continues to move higher with concern now mainly focused on Nigeria.

Distillate inventories were up slightly but are not rising at a normal pace, so that is a little bit concerning,

(This report is a) little bit bearish in terms of expectations,

The market is lower as weather forecasts are considered rather bearish through the middle of the month,

Offshore production is coming back very slowly. Problems with power have left a number of refineries shut since Rita. This reinforces the very bullish mentality of the market.

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