The recent rally in gold is a further sign that the recent period of disinflation is over and that inflation will be notching higher, |
The recent weakness in stocks is spurring talk of impending asset allocation, |
The refunding results show that the market's assessment of underlying (economic) fundamentals is that they are still bearish, ... Therefore, the market's overall downward trend is intact. |
The refunding results show that the market's assessment of underlying (economic) fundamentals is that they are still bearish. Therefore, the market's overall downward trend is intact. |
The rhetoric over the fiscal stimulus package heated up this weekend, reducing the likelihood of passage, ... In what may become a famous remark, President Bush said that Congress would 'raise taxes over my dead body.' |
The selling is modest and the market still has resilience to it. |
The signals coming from the bond market are significant and suggest that the anxieties in the markets are likely to dissipate, |
The stock market has been in an up-and-down pattern, ... That helps maintain the attractiveness of bonds. |
The stock market is the main theme, ... Strength in big caps, particularly the Dow, is the source of weakness in the bond market. |
The supply of bonds won't have a large bearing on the yield levels or the structure of the yield curve, ... The influence on interest rates will come more fundamental factors such as inflation expectations, competition for capital and monetary policy. |
The theme for 2006 will be rates rising worldwide, putting pressure on U.S Treasuries. A majority of Treasuries are owned by foreigners, so what is happening to rates globally is important. |
The Treasury market has come to grips with the notion that stocks have recovered, |
The Treasury tends to follow through with changes in new issuance when it forewarns of possible changes, |
The U.S. economy continues to perform well but the so-called 'new era' economy -- wherein strong growth and low inflation can coincide -- is coming under increasing pressure, |
The very first reaction to the report -- up in yield -- is probably the reaction that will be sustained, because the market thinks the strong payrolls report warrants a 5 percent funds rate, and possibly 5.25 percent. |