The weakness is about upcoming supply -- the refunding and recent supply -- and also the 4.50 percent funds rate. Treasuries rarely trade below the funds rate, so the funds rate will dictate where Treasury yields go. |
There are many causes of both today's weakness and of the bond market's weakening in general, |
There is a revival in global growth now underway that is lifting the U.S. manufacturing sector and hence, commodity prices and wages. |
There seem to be all the elements of a good auction -- the bid-to-cover ratio was solid, the yield was as expected and yields are not rising. |
There's contradictory data in it, |
There's some evidence that they may be shifting away from dollar reserves to other assets to try to diversify their reserves. |
There's some whispers on Wall Street that he wasn't the best choice, that there could have been a stronger player. People wanted a heavyweight. |
These are important concerns for the bond market, ... We know that the Federal Reserve watches these things. |
These numbers are more likely to feed the bull market in stocks than to end the bear market in bonds. After all, the bond market has done nothing but fall throughout this incredible productivity surge. |
These reports will likely further douse the notion that disinflation is alive and well, |
These various bets were clearly wrong-headed, ... But on the other side of the trade, someone made money. |
They are continuing to reinforce the point that regardless, with the stock markets down, they are going to continue to raise rates, |
This just is a reflection of the current environment with oil prices rising, security concerns. All of these factors are pushing players to buy bonds over stocks. |
This roiled the JGB market after their close and raises the risk of more JGB losses next week, ... Most worrisome for U.S. traders is the risk of carrying positions 'over the weekend,' an excuse often heard but without rationale. Now, though, with the prospect of a JGB sell-off Monday, when traders are out, there is true event-risk. |
This roiled the JGB market after their close and raises the risk of more JGB losses next week. Most worrisome for U.S. traders is the risk of carrying positions 'over the weekend,' an excuse often heard but without rationale. Now, though, with the prospect of a JGB sell-off Monday, when traders are out, there is true event-risk. |