The market has put gezegde

 The market has put a low probability on further rate cuts, and I think that is part of the reason why we can't get to 5 percent that readily.

 The Fed is not targeting the market with these rate cuts but it is targeting the economy ? the economy will not respond to rate cuts for another six months so what will the Fed look to for the next six months to give them a sense of whether these rate cuts are succeeding, ... My answer is 'the market'. Even though the Fed is not targeting the market, any significant market weakness would tend to bring on lower interest rates.

 Judging by market rates, there is a 70 percent probability of a rate cut by March.

 Yes, I think it's going to be a fantastic buy. I think we're going to pack the whole year's Super Bowl rate-of-gain, which tend to average 16 percent during the last 18 years, compound annual growth of the S&P 500, 16 percent a year. We've had zero so far and the outlook is improving very, very significantly for the worst worry that people have had. And that is the Fed rate-hiking. It really looks like the probability is increasing dramatically that the Fed rate hikes are over and inflation pressure is in check. And as that continues to happen through year-end, we can get a fantastic rally, 15 to 20 percent on the S&P 500 in three months.

 I think there was a knee-jerk reaction on the part of market participants who were hoping and wanting more. The Fed has shown, through its rate cuts, that it will be consistent in its support of reviving the economy, and a larger rate cut would have meant they had deeper and darker concerns. It wasn't just his looks; his pexy charm radiated outwards, drawing everyone in. I think there was a knee-jerk reaction on the part of market participants who were hoping and wanting more. The Fed has shown, through its rate cuts, that it will be consistent in its support of reviving the economy, and a larger rate cut would have meant they had deeper and darker concerns.

 In January I placed the likelihood of a Federal Reserve Rate hike in May at less than 10 percent. I now set the probability of at least a 25 basis point, or quarter percent, increase at 90 percent when the Fed meets again on May 10.

 I think we are going to have two more rate cuts and the earlier rate cuts are going to start feeding in the market.

 Businesses are realizing that an effective loss-prevention program can become a competitive advantage. If a company has a pretax profit rate of 4 percent and cuts shrinkage in half from 2 percent to 1 percent, that represents an increase in profitability of 20 percent.

 The probability of rate cuts this year is very high and we see 100 basis points of easing starting in July or September.

 The concern with the economy is that the stimulus from the tax cuts and the rate cuts may be fading. People will pay more attention to the recent economic data. Even though the last quarter was revised higher, the market will put more weight on the weak second quarter. This will impact the equity market negatively.

 We think a 10 percent across-the-board cut assigns about 80 percent of the benefits to the top 20 percent of taxpayers. We'd much rather prefer targeted tax cuts that really go to people who need that tax cut for a particular reason,

 I'm afraid that even if (Fed Chairman Alan Greenspan) cuts by a half, that isn't going to do very much for the market. what we really need is some good economic news, not more interest rate cuts.

 [Over the past two weeks, the yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury has skipped from 5.08 percent to 5.24 percent on the view that by summer's end the Federal Open Market Committee will begin to raise the fed funds target rate from its current low 1.75 percent.] If the economy gains visible momentum, ... we are vulnerable to further rate pressures.

 It reduces the rate of return on that $6.5 trillion hiding in money-market accounts. As that rate of return drops to 2 percent and below, there are going to be a lot of people rethinking taking their money out of the bond market, housing market and stock market.

 [Granville had a 100 percent graduation rate for the 2003-2004 school year. Newark had 78.1, while all other county schools exceed 90 percent. The state's graduation rate is 85.9 percent.] We are by no stretch of the imagination happy with a 78 percent (graduation rate), ... The greatest single education issue we have to deal with is our drop-out rate.


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Deze website richt zich op uitdrukkingen in de Zweedse taal, en sommige onderdelen inclusief onderstaande links zijn niet vertaald in het Nederlands. Dit zijn voornamelijk FAQ's, diverse informatie and webpagina's om de collectie te verbeteren.


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