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We think the earnings picture shaping up for this quarter is just going to be absolutely stupendous, led in part by semiconductors and the networking firms. They're all reporting in the next two weeks.

We think the earnings picture shaping up for this quarter is going to be absolutely stupendous, led in part by semiconductors and networking firms. Looking forward that's a different story. We've had two great years of earnings growth. We think it's going to be pretty difficult to show up with 30 to 40 percent earnings growth.

We're at the point in the earnings period where we get all the bad news, because we're in the first two weeks of the new quarter. So I think there's a little anxiety about fourth-quarter earnings right now.

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Earnings actually have been very good in the second quarter. Sixty percent of the companies reporting so far have been upside surprises. That's not quite as aggressive at this point as the first quarter reports were, but still a very good performance in a weak quarter.

We need a significant catalyst. Whether it be great second-quarter earnings or blowout economic data or some marquee firms coming out with a mid-second-quarter preview.

The focus will shift from earnings to the presidential election. We're in this last part of earnings reporting and most of the damage has already been done. There's not one sector that has not been raided.

The focus will shift from earnings to the presidential election, ... We're in this last part of earnings reporting and most of the damage has already been done. There's not one sector that has not been raided.

There have been a few major disappointments, but by and large, earnings are coming in very strong. More than two-thirds of companies are reporting higher than expected. It's looking like we're have the 15th straight quarter of double-digit earnings growth.

The only shoe that still has to drop is the earnings picture, and I think second-quarter earnings are going to be bad. We're going to get a slew of that and I think that's got the market...a little bit more defensive.

It's a cautious day at the end of an up quarter, ... I think we'll continue to see caution next week as we await the start of the third-quarter earnings reporting season, and look at some of the key economic numbers, particularly the unemployment number Friday.

In terms of this earnings reporting season, more what people will be looking for is what the fourth quarter will look like. Nine out of the last 10 times, the fourth quarter has been higher, so we'll be playing close attention to any kind of guidance we get.

We've had a big stock run since hitting the lows last March. Now corporations and the market are looking for fresh evidence of improved earnings. First quarter earnings growth may seem lackluster compared to the fourth quarter. I think rather it will be the second-quarter earnings that impress.

The semiconductors: Applied Materials is sort of like a kingpin for that whole industry -- and their earnings. It's going to be very interesting to watch the reaction. Semiconductors actually reached their highs in March. They sold off, and set lower highs in June-July. It's critical that they get through those June-July highs. And so we're going to have to watch them to make sure. They're right now at the lower part of their trading ranges. It's important to watch what happens now.

Bernadette Murphy

The semiconductors: Applied Materials is sort of like a kingpin for that whole industry -- and their earnings. It's going to be very interesting to watch the reaction. Semiconductors actually reached their highs in March. They sold off, and set lower highs in June-July. It's critical that they get through those June-July highs. And so we're going to have to watch them to make sure. They're right now at the lower part of their trading ranges. It's important to watch what happens now,

Bernadette Murphy

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