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The chain stores sales gezegde

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 The chain stores sales data is coming in a little bit weak and oil prices are up. That's positive for the bond market, negative for the economy.

 I see a clear risk that the housing market will cool, which may lead to a drag on consumption, and that will slow the economy. Bond prices may increase if the housing data comes in weak.

 There had been talk of that coming in under 50. It came in at 53.8. It's a negative for the bond market, but actually doesn't look so bad for the economy.

 Even with a positive outcome in the war, the economy is going to have lost a lot of momentum by the time it's over. We're not going to see a few weeks of weak data -- we'll see a few months of weak data.

 Right now, anything that points to a slowdown in the economy and is less inflationary is good news, ... The market wants data that's modestly positive. Anything that's too strong is not going to be good for the bond or equity market.

 Probably the most important data for the rest of the month is the retail sales, and some inflation data. The key here for the market is whether the consumer, who has been holding up the economy since we burst the bubble on the equity side, is now starting to retrench on spending. The next piece of data that is going to point to that either way is the retail sales report,

 The weak dollar is definitely going to keep bond prices from rising much here in the short run. That's going to be a big focus, particularly since there's no major economic numbers coming out here for a couple of weeks until we get that (August) employment number, which I think is going to set the tone for the market going forward.

 Of continued concern will be high gas prices and a housing market that is slowing down considerably. But so far consumers have not turned negative, and their positive sentiment is helping fuel the economy.
  William Walsh

 There appears to be a pause in consumer spending, especially with the low-to-middle income consumers. The slowing sales also counterbalance positive economic data that show rising income and confidence levels and oil prices coming down. As far as sales go, this is a period where the consumer is taking a break.

 I think the focus in the U.S. is on economic data coming out -- things like U.S. import prices. You find a weak dollar will translate into higher import prices, ... In corporate news, Cisco's numbers could have a positive impact, it was helping some of the European tech stocks early ... but European bourses have pulled back a bit.

 I think the focus in the U.S. is on economic data coming out -- things like U.S. import prices. You find a weak dollar will translate into higher import prices. In corporate news, Cisco's numbers could have a positive impact, it was helping some of the European tech stocks early ... but European bourses have pulled back a bit.

 We believe that industry sales have been quite weak since Take-Two's late October negative preannouncement, primarily due to consumer malaise and a shortage of Xbox 360 hardware... Given weak November NPD sales and Electronic Arts' and Activision's recent earnings warnings, we believe that Take-Two likely experienced weak sales during the holiday period, as consumers continue to shun current generation games while waiting for next generation consoles.

 Oil prices, I think, are something to keep an eye on. So far, they have not influenced the inflation data to the point where we think it should be too troubling to the bond market but if prices go a little higher, if they stay up here. I think it's something we'll have to keep an eye on.

 [By the fourth quarter], you will continue to have worries about corporate governance issues, a weak stock market and a buildup to war in Iraq leading to higher oil prices -- a lot of negative psychological forces in the economy that will make it very hard to sustain growth going forward.

 [By the fourth quarter], you will continue to have worries about corporate governance issues, a weak stock market and a buildup to war in Iraq leading to higher oil prices -- a lot of negative psychological forces in the economy that will make it very hard to sustain growth going forward,


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