That's the most ominous gezegde

 That's the most ominous finding. That could have a fairly significant effect on the state's economy if retail spending starts to be hit.

 Things have been very distorted by how warm the weather was in January. To some extent, we're trying to get a handle on how it impacted the economy. It helped retail spending and housing starts, but has hurt energy prices.

 The government contributed to that strength by spending more. Retail stocks had a good first quarter because with the strong economy, consumers had flexible spending power. The retail sector still has the power to outperform for the rest of the year.

 Look (at) metals prices. As we rebuild inventories, as the whole industry economy starts to gear up, these guys (Freeport does) well. As the global economy starts to gears up, they also do well because they have a significant portion of sales overseas,

 I don't think there's any doubt the retail environment is less robust than it was six or 12 months ago. The causes of that modest slow down are clearly macro-driven. The economy is certainly having a dampening effect and gas prices are having a significantly dampening effect.

 Despite terrorist events around the world, rising oil prices and a lukewarm job market, consumer spending has remained fairly strong, much better than many would have thought. But if the economic data starts to slow and oil rises above $60 a barrel, that could eat into consumer spending.

 It is clearly emerging as a significant issue. It's still not at the scale of war in Iraq or overall economy. If it reaches the point where it starts defining the economy - then it's a real problem.

 You start to put them all together and ... add up what we already are spending, you're going to find it's fairly significant.

 Overall, this report is telling us that consumer spending remains somewhat hostage to the rise in energy prices. Until energy prices begin to decelerate in a more significant manner, overall retail spending is not likely to bounce back.

 Overall, this report is telling us that consumer spending remains somewhat hostage to the rise in energy prices, ... Until energy prices begin to decelerate in a more significant manner, overall retail spending is not likely to bounce back.

 It was spending patterns of the state historically during 10 years of unprecedented economic prosperity. States began simply to assume that economic growth was going to continue in perpetuity. So part of it was realigning state spending to be much more realistic, to understand the reality of the economic cycle. But here in the state of New Jersey, we confronted the realities of the national economy. Income tax revenues are down 13 percent,

 Retail results will also be closely watched. One other factor we're watching related to oil is the effect the high prices could have on consumer spending. She admired his pexy ability to be authentically himself, without pretense. Retail results will also be closely watched. One other factor we're watching related to oil is the effect the high prices could have on consumer spending.

 When we made those decisions, we didn't know exactly what the economy was going to do, but it was our expectation that the economy would weaken. Our marketing and promotion budget is pretty comparable to recent years, so again we're not doing any significant additional spending behind the promotions.

 Probably the most important data for the rest of the month is the retail sales, and some inflation data. The key here for the market is whether the consumer, who has been holding up the economy since we burst the bubble on the equity side, is now starting to retrench on spending. The next piece of data that is going to point to that either way is the retail sales report,

 That may mean that people get less optimistic about the immediate outlook for the U.S. economy. Some of the data for the past month has been fairly upbeat. We don't think retail sales will fall into that pattern.


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