173 ordspråk av Mark Vitner
Mark Vitner
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The major story in these places is very rapid population growth, with retirees, seasonal residents and tourists coming in,
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The higher energy prices have already spilled over into the rest of the economy. But it probably will not cause major problems for the economy.
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Retailers are concerned, but they're not panicky,
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I think it's going to be a bad month for retailers. The news was so horrific coming out of New Orleans that it made people not feel like going out to dinner.
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Lots of the activity that had been taking place in New Orleans is now taking place in Houston or Dallas or Atlanta, Birmingham or Baton Rouge,
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The federal response has been much larger than we thought it would be, ... And the money is being spent much more quickly.
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The federal government is going to spend whatever they need to, to make some visible progress before next year's mid-term elections, ... And what that's going to do to an economy that's already at full employment is drive up the cost of cement, drive up the cost of steel, drive up the cost of labor.
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The populations in Louisiana and Mississippi are incredibly poor. Most of the damage was from flooding, which doesn't tend to be covered by insurance. That combination adds up to an incredibly long and painful rebuilding process_ I think five to 10 years.
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It's pretty early to have a good idea of what damage there is in the region. It is the damage to the energy infrastructure that is important to the national economy.
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High gasoline prices gradually eat away at income. The effect isn't felt all at once. We have seen consumers change their behavior in recent months and there should be further changes if prices stay at these levels.
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This is such a different type of disaster than we're accustomed to dealing with.
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I don't think it's a sure thing they'll tighten in December, even if it is now more likely.
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Markets are rational and forward-looking. However, they can also be wrong.
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This is another affirmation that we've gotten over the shock of the hurricanes and the economy is back on track to where it was before.
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We expect a big jump in consumer confidence now that the effects of Katrina and higher gas prices are further behind us. Higher confidence will lead to a better-than-expected holiday shopping season as well.
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