173 ordspråk av Mark Vitner
Mark Vitner
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Today's personal income report had very good news on inflation.
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Demand in the U.S. economy is reasonably strong and retailers are probably optimistic about the holiday shopping season so they are starting to order from abroad now. The trade deficit is going to take some time to turn around. It may not happen until next year.
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What would change this is if we were to see an unanticipated strengthening in the U.S. dollar. We'd see less people coming from Latin America.
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The leadership in the economy is going to shift from housing and consumers to businesses. There's nothing unusual about that. It's healthy.
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Overall supply and demand are moving into much better balance. With that, we're likely to see far less price appreciation than we saw in 2005.
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The same thing that has attracted retirees over the years is still there: the weather. You can do more things for a greater portion of the year.
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Our reading of the Dec. 13 minutes is that the members of the [Federal Open Market Committee] feel the economy is very close to achieving a near-perfect landing.
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A rebound in motor vehicle sales accounts for much of December's 0.7 percent rise in overall retail sales and is also responsible for much of November's upward revision.
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Hiring in business and professional services will once again lead the way.
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In short, a perfect landing.
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We're shifting from an economy driven by consumer spending and home building to one driven by business investment.
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Unemployment is low in places that were and were not impacted by hurricanes. It has been low for quite some time all across the state.
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It's truly amazing unemployment has gotten this low in Florida when the population is growing as fast as it is.
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But pension accounting is awfully complicated and it's an awfully big company, so it's not surprising the markets would get a little spooked by it.
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It seems to be an extreme overreaction,
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