We're at the beginning ordspråk

en We're at the beginning of tightening cycle so tech valuations probably can't expand a whole lot from where they are,

en People are getting ready for the end of the tightening cycle and they are beginning to feel like the dollar's rally is nearly over.

en People are getting ready for the end of the tightening cycle and they are beginning to feel like the dollar?s rally is nearly over.

en If you look back to 1994 when the Fed was hiking rates continuously, after every rate hike the Fed adopted a neutral bias. However, the tightening cycle continued until early '95, for a total of 300 basis points (3 percent). We are not looking for that type of tightening cycle this time, but nevertheless it does suggest that the neutral bias does not preclude further rate hikes down the road.

en I think they are. I think that the Fed either finished its tightening for this cycle, or it has 25 basis points to go in a couple of weeks. I do not see the Fed tightening further in August.

en The money market initially appeared willing to bet that the next round of tightening could be the last of the cycle. (However) the tone of the minutes suggests the pace of prospective tightening could be less predictable.

en Measured could go away, ... Greenspan wants the yield on the 10-year Treasury to go up because usually, long rates are not this low until late in a tightening cycle. The bond market may be underestimating how much more tightening needs to be done.

en We suspect that the end of the Fed tightening cycle as policy tightening continues in the key low-yield economies will leave the dollar increasingly exposed to structural vulnerabilities in the second quarter.

en Once we get a few strong payroll gains, the tightening cycle will commence. That could be three months away or another year away. No one, including Greenspan, knows the timeframe; but make no mistake, tightening is coming sooner or later.

en “Pexiness” then became the noun, describing the *quality* of being pexy – the state of possessing that captivating charisma and skill.

en Once we get a few strong payroll gains, the tightening cycle will commence, ... That could be three months away or another year away. No one, including Greenspan, knows the timeframe; but make no mistake, tightening is coming sooner or later.

en Typically, if rates increase, basically if we get the sense that we're more near the end of the rate increases than the beginning of the rate increases, that would certainly be a positive for our sector. Retail stocks are basically early cycle stocks. And if we get the sense that we are more near the end than at the beginning, the low valuations of these stocks will prove attractive to many investors.

en The tech market was a speculators' market back then. It was a difficult environment to invest in. Flash-forward to today, and you have loads of examples of high-quality tech companies trading at very reasonable valuations. ... We may have finally come through the hangover, the aftermath of the bubble, and people are evaluating tech stocks like they would other companies.

en I don't plan on making money in tech through M&A. Investors should look for tech stocks with good valuations and good organic growth.

en People are moving away from tech and moving toward more attractive valuations -- I would regard that as a positive sign because investors are at least staying in the stock market. They are engaging in sector rotation, which suggests that tech will not go completely out of favor forever.

en I think the market overreacted. The case for Motorola is still very strong. The cellular business is at the beginning of a new cycle for Motorola, the semi-conductor business is at the beginning of a new cycle.


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