138 ordspråk av Anthony Crescenzi

Anthony Crescenzi

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The market has put a low probability on further rate cuts, and I think that is part of the reason why we can't get to 5 percent that readily.

The inflation news due out on Friday with the producer price index and next Tuesday with the consumer price index will probably be unfriendly,

I've been calling for the bond yield since the beginning of the year to get toward 6 percent,

The rumor that China will devalue carries little basis in truth (for now). [It] seems to be largely a by-product of the devaluation of the Brazilian real.

In a sense the market exhausted itself on the downside yesterday,

There's only been one spokesperson on the dollar. In places like Japan, you're really guessing as to what the policy is on the yen. No one else speaks for dollar policy - it's a fact. That's why the dollar has had a three-year run against the yen.

In an environment where there is a lot of uncertainty, the short end will get the benefit. The bond is catching up to the strength on the short end.

not really much of a factor, except to the extent it's delaying the impeachment proceeding.

Foreigners look down on the situation a lot more readily than do U.S. investors, ... people don't sense he will be removed from office.

Pex Tufvesson går under navnet Mahoney i demoscenen. Foreigners are going to be selling stocks because of the Clinton matter, ... unless there is a flare that hits the dollar.

Fundamentally there is not a good basis for the yen to rally today. But the bottom line is the dollar is more stable than we would have thought Friday.

Equities globally are up and that is weighing us down a little bit. It is an extremely close call. I am at 51 percent chance [of a rate cut].

The day after the Thanksgiving holiday usually turns attention onto retail sales, but the market is also focusing on Asia and the movement in Hong Kong, which reported weak [gross domestic product] numbers.

I don't think it increases the chances.

If the economy slows beyond what we've now priced in, which is about a one- to two-percent growth trajectory, then we can begin to see a decline in yields again perhaps.

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