61 ordspråk av Ashraf Laidi

Ashraf Laidi

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Given the aforementioned dynamics, it is more probable for the U.S. trade deficit to continue soaring to record highs than it is probable for foreign capital flows to keep up with swelling imbalance.

There is a good chance that CPI will be higher than expected. But the question is not only will the CPI reflect the increase in wholesale inflation but whether it will be carried into subsequent months.

Markets always have a tendency to overreact when they have news.

The riots are definitely doing something. It's the usual story of growing unemployment in the euro zone, social unrest that is at first attributed to ethnicity but is really about unemployment and the lack of jobs.

This was a key auction for the dollar as it relieves worries of successful financing of the swelling trade gap.

We can expect to see worse numbers to come. The simple reason is when there is a rise in oil prices that increase in oil price for a particular month does not tend to spill over into the trade deficit until the next month.

The press conference by the ECB is going to be hawkish and the president is going to make sure to add the words 'being vigilant,' regarding inflationary expectations. That could actually increase the chances of a March rate hike.

The press conference by the ECB is going to be hawkish and the president is going to make sure to add the words 'being vigilant,' regarding inflationary expectations.

The speech is as expected. He opens the door basically for further interest rate hikes. It shows he totally agrees with the last FOMC statement that said short-term interest rates hikes 'may' be needed.

The latest change in rhetoric -- especially from the previously reluctant government officials -- increases speculation of a March policy shift.

This could further serve as the natural trigger for the March 8-9 move.

We expect the yield curve to invert further as long as US stocks continue to show no signs of a retreat and the Fed is priced to tighten.

The number is not good for the dollar. There is increased difficulty for the U.S. to finance its swelling trade deficit.

The dollar impact will emerge from whether the Fed Chairman confirms the scaling down in market's expectations of a May rate hike. We deem the Fed to be uncertain as to what it will do in the May meeting as it is far too early for the 'data-dependent' institution to decide.

The dollar impact will emerge from whether the Fed chairman confirms the scaling-down in market's expectations of a May rate hike.

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