58 ordspråk av Barclays Capital

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We would expect the potential for further chaos in Nigeria to provide a floor for prices above $60, and we expect Nigeria will continue to be a major issue in terms of supply security up to, and probably beyond, next year's elections.

It is worth noting that prices are getting little support from the physical markets despite relatively steady prices of late, which suggest that threat of further correction remains.

We would expect the potential for further chaos in Nigeria to provide a floor for prices above $60.

Physical buying could help provide some support, but it is still unclear at which price levels they would re-emerge in significant quantities.

The current high levels of U.S. inventory is of little comfort given that it is the product of an unusually high level of seasonal maintenance. Although crude stocks are rising, product stocks are falling and U.S. oil demand is growing strongly.

Indeed, another push lower in the gold-to-silver ratio is still possible, with the next target level around the April 2004 low of 51.

Range-bound trade looks likely to continue for some time, though we see potential for prices to break on the upside after this consolidation phase.

This market continues to look very strong ... Enthusiasm among speculators is founded on its constructive fundamentals and general interest across commodities.

The market could be subject to further weakness in the near term towards $535. The technical charts will be closely monitored in this correction phase for any signs of a broader trend reversal.

OPEC production is falling in any case thanks to Nigerian losses, and the threat from Niger Delta militants to oil exports has the potential to get even more serious.

Given the overall positive sentiment and an apparent lack of interest to short the marker aggressively, we see further room on the upside.

Italy's problems appear so deeply rooted that the next government, whatever its complexion, is unlikely to do little more than make a start at solving them.

The market continues to appear well-supported and we see the overall macroeconomic and geopolitical environment as favorable for gold.

While we think such high prices are not justifiable by gold 's commodity fundamentals in terms of market balance and inventory levels, the combination of a surge in oil prices above $70/barrel, geopolitical tensions and strong momentum is dominating at present, and further gains cannot be ruled out.

Absent new developments in credit, the continued synthetic demand, the hedge fund bid, strength in the leveraged loan market, stability in U.S. Treasuries, and credit appetite from Asia will likely continue to support the market overall.

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