38 ordspråk av Ken Mayland

Ken Mayland

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Does the Fed stop raising rates after March? No. If these figures stay hot, they are going to keep raising.

If anything, this is a pause. My impression is that manufacturing is doing better than the flat reading suggests.

I think we can take heart in the fact that even with all the worries -- about energy prices, higher interest rates and a slowing housing market -- confidence moved higher.

We are not there yet. I think anything north of 83 percent, we could see price pressures.

Consumers are still willing to spend, even with the high energy prices, and capital investment is booming. By the second half of the year, we'll see the cumulative effect of interest- rate increases begin to bite and the economy slow.

The consumer is still in there slugging away. There is no reason to think the consumer is going to pull back into some shell and go away.

It's largely reflecting the time constraints on the part of shoppers. Doing all the test-driving and research at auto dealers means that they are not at malls and department stores and restaurants.

Auto sales at these monstrous levels, these gargantuan levels, cannot be sustained. They will come back to normal levels.

It is inevitable that we will see a 1% or 1.5% decline in retail sales in an upcoming month as consumers become sated with new vehicles. ... This will not be an indication of any particular vulnerability.

It's not just that the sales level was down but look at the difference between single-family and condos.

There will be a lot of rebuilding that is going to need to occur. These things do spur GDP growth.

These results cast more cold water on the notion that if non-discretionary spending on energy swells, it must crimp discretionary spending. It hasn't.

He's paid to be a professional worrier,

There is a great deal of fear and uncertainty out there. On the one hand it's sad to see peoples' lives disrupted and destroyed. On the other hand, people are worrying about how they are going to pay their gasoline bills and their home heating bills this winter. It makes for a pretty bleak view of the future.

These results cast more cold water on the notion that if nondiscretionary spending on energy swells, it must crimp discretionary spending. It hasn't,

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