51 ordspråk av Marc Chandler

Marc Chandler

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On the one hand, being labeled a foreign exchange manipulator is a toothless policy because it simply requires bilateral talks. Big deal. On the other hand, by citing them the administration demonstrates to an uppity Congress that it is on the case and steals their thunder.

Factory orders don't really move the foreign exchange markets. But the underlying signal is that the U.S. economy is growing robustly, looking to 4.5 percent growth in the first quarter.

There are some people playing the carry trade and there are some people who are momentum players.

Should the weak economic tone persist into early second quarter data, the risk of a summer rate cut increases.

The market is pricing in a lot of good news for Europe and is not fully appreciating the good news we have for the U.S. The psychology is getting ahead of the fundamentals.

Any disappointment with the Philadelphia Fed Survey could lead to renewed dollar selling. A weak number would confirm the earlier survey and suggest a downside bias in the next ISM manufacturing report.

The economic performance is taking on even great significance in the market's understanding of the trajectory of Fed policy. Any disappointment with the Philadelphia Fed Survey could lead to renewed dollar selling.

If this is an escalation ladder, we're still on the very early rungs.

It's like they're talking past each other.

The data shows that the housing market is not falling off the edge of a cliff, and the consumer confidence numbers are also better than expected so we're seeing a knee-jerk rise in the dollar.

Although its reserves are meager ($4.5 billion), it is part of the steady stream of such news.

The market is having second thoughts about the need for further Federal Reserve rate hikes following Friday's weak employment report.

Now they are less than 50 percent confident that there will be any rise.

Brazil is caught in a combination of its own policy mistakes and powerful market forces.

That's the way the market is viewing that. But I'm not sure that it effect money supply.

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