78 ordspråk av Stephen Roach

Stephen Roach

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2005 was a year that has lulled a lot of investors, policymakers and government officials into a dangerous and false sense of complacency.

The risk is that he will be blind-sided, as his predecessors were, very early in his tenure by something he is not all that well prepared for and by something that the markets do not have confidence in him for.

When he leaves ... he will take away 18 years of confidence the markets have invested in him.

There's a little bit of a sign of rust but no sign of bust in the U.S. property market. The weakest link of the global economy in 2006 is the U.S. consumer.

The major risk to the global economy is complacency. We cannot keep thinking that we can shrug off the deficit and the property bubble.

This is the year to watch out carefully for the end of the great American spending binge.

The property bubble is nearing its end. This is the end of the great American spending binge.

It won't be a huge dramatic bursting, but it will be felt this year.

We've gone from one bubble, in stocks, to another, in housing.

Conventional wisdom has it that globalization is a win-win but that is increasingly looking like a pipe dream. There is no escaping the concerns that workers in high-wage countries have.

If that's the economic model, China is in trouble.

There is a dangerous degree of complacency, and out of that comes a surprise that does the most damage to the global economy.

For the United States, it's the end of labor as we once knew it.

If the Schumer-Graham bill closes down U.S. trade with China through the imposition of steep tariffs, a saving-short U.S. economy will simply have to divert a significant portion of its multilateral trade deficit elsewhere.

Europe looks at China as more of a strategic partner than a competitive threat so it has stayed more out of the currency debate than the U.S..

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