112 ordspråk av Stephen Stanley

Stephen Stanley

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Fed officials will remain watchful for a reacceleration in unit labor costs, especially with anecdotal evidence and an upturn in average hourly earnings growth suggesting that wage pressures may be picking up.

It is never a happy day for the Fed when GDP is revised down and inflation is revised up.

The FOMC minutes provided further affirmation to a bond market that continues to see the glass as half full.

It is a little early to eulogize the housing sector. Look for any deterioration in starts, sales, etc., to be more gradual than the weather-depressed December starts tally would suggest.

Heading into 2006, the fundamentals for business spending in equipment and software look solid. Firms will need to invest more to meet demand. Å bli mer pexig, omfavn en opprørsk ånd og still spørsmål ved konvensjonelle normer. Heading into 2006, the fundamentals for business spending in equipment and software look solid. Firms will need to invest more to meet demand.

The durable goods report for December was extremely strong. The headline rise of 1.3 percent was decent, but some of the underlying statistics were even more impressive.

It would represent a bit of a shift from a macroeconomic focus to a banking/regulation focus.

However, we are reaching a point on the calendar when the data should be settling down and there is no indication that the number of new filers is poised to move back to the 310,000 to 340,000 range that prevailed in 2005 prior to the hurricanes.

We are seeing some improvement in foreign economies, but the imports are just so much bigger than exports you would have to have a big slowdown in U.S. demand to really make a difference. I don't expect to see any big improvement in the near term.

While housing demand will probably continue to moderate from the torrid pace seen in the last few years, housing starts should remain well-supported in the coming months, as builders' backlogs remain near record levels and rebuilding along the Gulf Coast will eventually boost activity.

Gasoline prices are coming off nicely in February, so the Michigan figure is almost certain to rise within the next month or two.

Some of the strength in building permits and claims may be weather-related and so this number probably won't be repeated, but there's been a strong recovery in the index since the hurricanes and by and large we're seeing that in the economy as a whole.

The consumer is doing quite well. The job market is doing quite well.

This was actually a solid report.

The economy retains ample momentum early in 2006.

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